San José State at Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -4.5o/u 53.5

ST Model Eastern Michigan -3(-1.5 vs market)

Trends · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

San José State — the basics

122 graded games since 2014

on the road	26-33	44%	-2.7	n=59
as an underdog	31-39	44%	-2.8	n=70
spread 3.5-7	9-21	30%	-6.0	n=30
out of conference	20-21	49%	-2.7	n=41
vs an FBS opponent	51-64	44%	-2.9	n=115
vs a G5 opponent	44-56	44%	-2.7	n=100
vs the Mid-American	2-4	33%	-9.2	n=6
in September	13-19	41%	-4.2	n=32
in the last 5 seasons	27-34	44%	-2.5	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

San José State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -10.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 122 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per game	n=122
San José State has failed to cover 4 straight	n=4

San José State — combinations

22 lean San José State · 96 lean against

Read this first. 139 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
out of conference + in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 49%	-0.2	n=22
in September + in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 41%	+1.4	n=16
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	14-14	50%from 44%	-1.1	n=28
on the road + out of conference	10-10	50%from 44%	-3.1	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 50%	+3.3	n=9
+ vs an FBS opponent	10-10	50%from 50%	-3.1	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 50%	+3.3	n=9
+ in September	6-9	40%from 50%	-6.0	n=15
+ in September	6-9	40%from 50%	-6.0	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 40%	+1.9	n=7
out of conference + vs a G5 opponent	9-10	47%from 49%	-3.4	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 47%	-1.3	n=12
+ in September	5-5	50%from 47%	-1.4	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 50%	+2.4	n=7
+ vs the Mid-American	2-4	33%from 47%	-9.2	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 33%	-5.0	n=5
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	16-18	47%from 49%	-3.9	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 47%	-0.6	n=18
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-7	42%from 47%	-7.2	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 42%	-2.9	n=8
+ in September	3-3	50%from 42%	-4.6	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	2-4	33%from 42%	-9.2	n=6
+ in September	8-12	40%from 47%	-4.5	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 40%	+2.8	n=10
+ vs the Mid-American	2-4	33%from 47%	-9.2	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 33%	-5.0	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Eastern Michigan — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

at home	27-37	42%	-4.3	n=64
as a favorite	20-26	43%	-3.0	n=46
spread 3.5-7	16-16	50%	-0.9	n=32
out of conference	26-23	53%	-1.2	n=49
vs an FBS opponent	69-61	53%	+0.1	n=130
vs a G5 opponent	60-56	52%	-0.4	n=116
in September	20-22	48%	-1.7	n=42
at this venue	27-36	43%	-3.9	n=63
in the last 5 seasons	32-29	52%	-0.7	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Eastern Michigan — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=139
Eastern Michigan has covered 3 straight	n=3

Eastern Michigan — combinations

46 lean Eastern Michigan · 126 lean against

Read this first. 207 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
spread 3.5-7 + out of conference	4-2	67%from 50%	+1.0	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.0	n=6
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent	23-17	57%from 53%	+0.5	n=40
+ vs a G5 opponent	11-6	65%from 57%	+2.2	n=17
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 65%	+6.5	n=6
+ in September	8-4	67%from 65%	+4.9	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 65%	-1.8	n=8
+ in September	16-12	57%from 57%	+1.5	n=28
+ at this venue	5-3	63%from 57%	+1.6	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 57%	+2.5	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 57%	-0.9	n=18
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 57%	-1.4	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+4.5	n=5
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	31-25	55%from 53%	+0.0	n=56
out of conference + vs a G5 opponent	14-12	54%from 53%	-1.5	n=26
+ at this venue	8-7	53%from 54%	-2.5	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 53%	-0.3	n=8
+ in September	10-9	53%from 54%	-0.6	n=19
+ at this venue	7-6	54%from 53%	-2.4	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 53%	-3.4	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-8	38%from 54%	-4.5	n=13
spread 3.5-7 + in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 50%	+0.7	n=13
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	15-13	54%from 43%	-3.1	n=28
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	57-50	53%from 53%	+0.3	n=107
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-20	57%from 53%	+0.1	n=46
+ in September	10-9	53%from 53%	+0.8	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 53%	-1.6	n=9
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 53%	-0.6	n=10
+ at this venue	24-26	48%from 53%	-2.4	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 48%	-1.1	n=21

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.