Wyoming at North Dakota State

ST Model North Dakota State -21
Trends · 2026 week 5
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Wyoming — the basics
136 graded games since 2014
on the road29-3545%-0.9n=64
in a conference game51-4056%+2.3n=91
vs an FBS opponent69-5854%+1.5n=127
vs a G5 opponent64-5255%+1.9n=116
vs the Mountain West51-4056%+2.3n=91
in October24-1759%+3.4n=41
in the last 5 seasons29-3148%-0.7n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Wyoming — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -1.5 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 136 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per gamen=136
Wyoming has failed to cover 4 straightn=4
Wyoming — combinations
49 lean Wyoming · 25 lean against
Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
in a conference game + in October24-1660%from 56%+3.5n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons9-950%from 60%-2.0n=18
vs the Mountain West + in October24-1660%from 56%+3.5n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons9-950%from 60%-2.0n=18
vs an FBS opponent + in October24-1759%from 54%+3.4n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons9-950%from 59%-2.0n=18
vs a G5 opponent + in October24-1759%from 55%+3.4n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons9-950%from 59%-2.0n=18
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent61-4657%from 54%+2.5n=107
+ in October24-1759%from 57%+3.4n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons9-950%from 59%-2.0n=18
+ vs the Mountain West51-4056%from 57%+2.3n=91
+ in October24-1660%from 56%+3.5n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons20-1951%from 56%+0.1n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons24-2153%from 57%+0.7n=45
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent51-4056%from 56%+2.3n=91
+ in October24-1660%from 56%+3.5n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons9-950%from 60%-2.0n=18
+ vs a G5 opponent51-4056%from 56%+2.3n=91
+ in October24-1660%from 56%+3.5n=40
+ vs the Mountain West51-4056%from 56%+2.3n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons20-1951%from 56%+0.1n=39
+ vs the Mountain West51-4056%from 56%+2.3n=91
+ in October24-1660%from 56%+3.5n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons20-1951%from 56%+0.1n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons20-1951%from 56%+0.1n=39
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.