Air Force at Wyoming

ST Model Air Force -7.1
Trends · 2026 week 8
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Air Force — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
on the road36-2757%+1.4n=63
vs Wyoming2-918%-8.3n=11
in a conference game43-4648%+1.0n=89
vs an FBS opponent69-6253%+1.6n=131
vs a G5 opponent63-5653%+1.8n=119
vs the Mountain West43-4648%+1.0n=89
in October20-2347%+1.4n=43
at this venue0-50%-13.2n=5
in the last 5 seasons32-3151%+0.2n=63
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Air Force — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 141 graded games: +1.7 pts vs their number per gamen=141
Air Force — combinations
49 lean Air Force · 112 lean against
Read this first. 188 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + in the last 5 seasons17-965%from 57%+1.3n=26
on the road + vs an FBS opponent36-2757%from 57%+1.4n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons17-965%from 57%+1.3n=26
+ vs a G5 opponent30-2456%from 57%+0.9n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons17-771%from 56%+1.9n=24
+ in October11-1052%from 56%+0.8n=21
+ vs the Mountain West23-2251%from 56%+1.0n=45
+ at this venue0-50%from 56%-13.2n=5
+ in October11-1052%from 57%+0.8n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 52%+4.7n=9
+ vs the Mountain West23-2251%from 57%+1.0n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons13-765%from 51%+1.0n=20
+ in October8-850%from 51%+1.8n=16
+ at this venue0-50%from 51%-13.2n=5
+ at this venue0-50%from 57%-13.2n=5
on the road + vs a G5 opponent30-2456%from 57%+0.9n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons17-771%from 56%+1.9n=24
+ in October11-1052%from 56%+0.8n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 52%+4.7n=9
+ vs the Mountain West23-2251%from 56%+1.0n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons13-765%from 51%+1.0n=20
+ in October8-850%from 51%+1.8n=16
+ at this venue0-50%from 51%-13.2n=5
+ at this venue0-50%from 56%-13.2n=5
on the road + in October11-1052%from 57%+0.8n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 52%+4.7n=9
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.