How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
New Mexico — the basics
135 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 26-37 | 41% | -0.8 | n=63 |
| vs San José State | 1-5 | 17% | -10.3 | n=6 |
| in a conference game | 35-55 | 39% | -1.9 | n=90 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 50-76 | 40% | -1.6 | n=126 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 47-67 | 41% | -0.8 | n=114 |
| vs the Mountain West | 35-55 | 39% | -1.9 | n=90 |
| in October | 14-27 | 34% | -3.0 | n=41 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 24-36 | 40% | -0.4 | n=60 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
New Mexico — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 135 graded games: -0.9 pts vs their number per game | n=135 |
New Mexico — combinations
0 lean New Mexico · 116 lean against
Read this first. 124 combinations shown. The best one here is 42%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 55% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 13-18 | 42%from 41% | +1.6 | n=31 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 26-37 | 41%from 41% | -0.8 | n=63 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-18 | 42%from 41% | +1.6 | n=31 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 20-29 | 41%from 41% | -0.9 | n=49 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-13 | 41%from 41% | +0.6 | n=22 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 17-27 | 39%from 41% | -1.5 | n=44 |
| + in October | 7-12 | 37%from 41% | -1.3 | n=19 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 17-27 | 39%from 41% | -1.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-12 | 40%from 39% | +1.1 | n=20 |
| + in October | 6-12 | 33%from 39% | -3.1 | n=18 |
| + in October | 7-13 | 35%from 41% | -2.2 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 35% | -1.2 | n=9 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 20-29 | 41%from 41% | -0.9 | n=49 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-13 | 41%from 41% | +0.6 | n=22 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 17-27 | 39%from 41% | -1.5 | n=44 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-12 | 40%from 39% | +1.1 | n=20 |
| + in October | 6-12 | 33%from 39% | -3.1 | n=18 |
| + in October | 7-12 | 37%from 41% | -1.3 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-5 | 38%from 37% | +1.1 | n=8 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent | 42-63 | 40%from 40% | -1.6 | n=105 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 35-55 | 39%from 40% | -1.9 | n=90 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-25 | 34%from 39% | -2.9 | n=38 |
| + in October | 12-25 | 32%from 39% | -4.2 | n=37 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-27 | 37%from 40% | -2.6 | n=43 |
| + in October | 14-26 | 35%from 40% | -2.6 | n=40 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-11 | 35%from 35% | -2.6 | n=17 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.