San José State at Air Force—

ST Model Air Force -17.6

Trends · 2026 week 11

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

San José State — the basics

122 graded games since 2014

on the road	26-33	44%	-2.7	n=59
vs Air Force	4-3	57%	-0.9	n=7
in a conference game	35-46	43%	-2.5	n=81
vs an FBS opponent	51-64	44%	-2.9	n=115
vs a G5 opponent	44-56	44%	-2.7	n=100
vs the Mountain West	35-46	43%	-2.5	n=81
in November	16-23	41%	-5.2	n=39
in the last 5 seasons	27-34	44%	-2.5	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

San José State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -10.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 122 graded games: -2.6 pts vs their number per game	n=122
San José State has failed to cover 4 straight	n=4

San José State — combinations

14 lean San José State · 89 lean against

Read this first. 113 combinations shown. The best one here is 57%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 58% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Air Force + in a conference game	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs the Mountain West	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs the Mountain West	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs the Mountain West	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
vs Air Force + vs an FBS opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs the Mountain West	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs the Mountain West	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
vs Air Force + vs a G5 opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
+ vs the Mountain West	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
vs Air Force + vs the Mountain West	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.9	n=7
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	14-14	50%from 44%	-1.1	n=28
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	26-33	44%from 44%	-2.7	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-14	50%from 44%	-1.1	n=28
+ in November	8-11	42%from 44%	-5.2	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 42%	-8.3	n=7
+ vs the Mountain West	16-23	41%from 44%	-2.5	n=39
+ in November	7-11	39%from 41%	-6.2	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-12	37%from 41%	-3.2	n=19
+ vs a G5 opponent	17-25	40%from 44%	-3.3	n=42
+ vs the Mountain West	16-23	41%from 40%	-2.5	n=39
+ in November	7-11	39%from 40%	-6.2	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-13	38%from 40%	-3.5	n=21

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Air Force — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	33-33	50%	+2.6	n=66
vs San José State	3-4	43%	+0.9	n=7
in a conference game	43-46	48%	+1.0	n=89
vs an FBS opponent	69-62	53%	+1.6	n=131
vs a G5 opponent	63-56	53%	+1.8	n=119
vs the Mountain West	43-46	48%	+1.0	n=89
in November	26-22	54%	+1.7	n=48
at this venue	33-33	50%	+2.6	n=66
in the last 5 seasons	32-31	51%	+0.2	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Air Force — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.7 pts vs their number per game	n=141

Air Force — combinations

67 lean Air Force · 88 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 65%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + in November	21-14	60%from 48%	+3.3	n=35
+ at this venue	11-6	65%from 60%	+3.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 65%	+2.3	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 60%	+2.7	n=14
vs the Mountain West + in November	21-14	60%from 48%	+3.3	n=35
+ at this venue	11-6	65%from 60%	+3.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 65%	+2.3	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 60%	+2.7	n=14
vs a G5 opponent + in November	22-15	59%from 53%	+3.1	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 59%	+2.3	n=16
+ at this venue	11-7	61%from 59%	+3.0	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 61%	+1.7	n=7
at home + in November	12-10	55%from 50%	+2.0	n=22
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 55%	+2.0	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	+5.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	+5.3	n=8
in November + at this venue	12-10	55%from 54%	+2.0	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	+5.3	n=8
vs an FBS opponent + in November	26-22	54%from 53%	+1.7	n=48
+ at this venue	12-10	55%from 54%	+2.0	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 55%	+5.3	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 54%	+0.8	n=21
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 54%	+0.8	n=21
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	57-52	52%from 53%	+1.7	n=109
+ in November	22-15	59%from 52%	+3.1	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 59%	+2.3	n=16
+ at this venue	11-7	61%from 59%	+3.0	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	26-23	53%from 52%	+0.7	n=49
+ vs the Mountain West	43-46	48%from 52%	+1.0	n=89
+ in November	21-14	60%from 48%	+3.3	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-19	51%from 48%	+0.3	n=39
+ at this venue	20-23	47%from 48%	+1.4	n=43
+ at this venue	24-26	48%from 52%	+2.5	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-15	35%from 48%	-0.8	n=23

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.