How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Hawai'i — the basics
136 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 23-41 | 36% | -3.3 | n=64 |
| vs Nevada | 5-5 | 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| in a conference game | 40-46 | 47% | -1.3 | n=86 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 56-70 | 44% | -1.6 | n=126 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 49-57 | 46% | -1.3 | n=106 |
| vs the Mountain West | 40-46 | 47% | -1.3 | n=86 |
| in November | 19-24 | 44% | -2.9 | n=43 |
| at this venue | 2-3 | 40% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 33-28 | 54% | -0.2 | n=61 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Hawai'i — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +4.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 136 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game | n=136 |
| Hawai'i has covered 2 straight | n=2 |
Hawai'i — combinations
25 lean Hawai'i · 118 lean against
Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 12-6 | 67%from 44% | +3.9 | n=18 |
| in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons | 24-13 | 65%from 47% | +3.7 | n=37 |
| vs the Mountain West + in the last 5 seasons | 24-13 | 65%from 47% | +3.7 | n=37 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 27-19 | 59%from 46% | +1.9 | n=46 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 31-25 | 55%from 44% | +0.3 | n=56 |
| vs Nevada + in a conference game | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| vs Nevada + vs an FBS opponent | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| vs Nevada + vs a G5 opponent | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + vs the Mountain West | 5-5 | 50%from 50% | +6.9 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 50% | +8.8 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.