How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Charlotte — the basics
124 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 35-26 | 57% | -0.1 | n=61 |
| out of conference | 18-25 | 42% | -4.0 | n=43 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 54-60 | 47% | -2.8 | n=114 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 51-55 | 48% | -2.6 | n=106 |
| vs the Sun Belt | 4-6 | 40% | -6.5 | n=10 |
| in September | 20-24 | 45% | -3.1 | n=44 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 27-31 | 47% | -3.8 | n=58 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Charlotte — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -3.9 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 124 graded games: -2.7 pts vs their number per game | n=124 |
| Charlotte has covered 2 straight | n=2 |
Charlotte — combinations
32 lean Charlotte · 44 lean against
Read this first. 87 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs the Sun Belt | 4-1 | 80%from 57% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 18-9 | 67%from 57% | +1.9 | n=27 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 29-18 | 62%from 57% | +1.4 | n=47 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-1 | 80%from 62% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 8-4 | 67%from 62% | +0.3 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 62% | +2.0 | n=20 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 35-26 | 57%from 57% | -0.1 | n=61 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-1 | 80%from 57% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 18-9 | 67%from 57% | +1.9 | n=27 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 29-18 | 62%from 57% | +1.4 | n=47 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-1 | 80%from 62% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 8-4 | 67%from 62% | +0.3 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 62% | +2.0 | n=20 |
| + in September | 11-10 | 52%from 57% | -1.9 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 52% | +2.7 | n=9 |
| on the road + out of conference | 11-10 | 52%from 57% | -1.9 | n=21 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-1 | 80%from 52% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-2 | 71%from 52% | +4.2 | n=7 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + in September | 5-2 | 71%from 71% | +4.2 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 52% | +2.8 | n=9 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 11-10 | 52%from 52% | -1.9 | n=21 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 4-1 | 80%from 52% | +6.2 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-2 | 71%from 52% | +4.2 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 52% | +2.8 | n=9 |
| + in September | 8-8 | 50%from 52% | -0.9 | n=16 |
| + in September | 8-8 | 50%from 52% | -0.9 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-3 | 57%from 50% | +2.0 | n=7 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.