How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
South Alabama — the basics
143 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 28-40 | 41% | +0.0 | n=68 |
| out of conference | 23-27 | 46% | +1.3 | n=50 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 58-71 | 45% | -0.9 | n=129 |
| vs a P5 opponent | 8-7 | 53% | +0.5 | n=15 |
| vs the SEC | 4-3 | 57% | 0.0 | n=7 |
| in September | 21-26 | 45% | +0.4 | n=47 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 27-36 | 43% | +1.4 | n=63 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
South Alabama — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 143 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game | n=143 |
South Alabama — combinations
42 lean South Alabama · 20 lean against
Read this first. 74 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs the SEC | 4-2 | 67%from 41% | +3.2 | n=6 |
| on the road + vs a P5 opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 41% | +5.9 | n=11 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-2 | 67%from 64% | +3.2 | n=6 |
| + in September | 5-3 | 63%from 64% | +7.5 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 64% | +5.8 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 53% | +5.8 | n=5 |
| vs the SEC + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| out of conference + vs the SEC | 4-3 | 57%from 46% | 0.0 | n=7 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the SEC | 4-3 | 57%from 45% | 0.0 | n=7 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| vs a P5 opponent + vs the SEC | 4-3 | 57%from 53% | 0.0 | n=7 |
| + in September | 3-2 | 60%from 57% | +3.4 | n=5 |
| on the road + out of conference | 12-10 | 55%from 41% | +5.3 | n=22 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-2 | 67%from 55% | +3.2 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 55% | +5.9 | n=11 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-2 | 67%from 64% | +3.2 | n=6 |
| + in September | 5-3 | 63%from 64% | +7.5 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 64% | +5.8 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 12-10 | 55%from 55% | +5.3 | n=22 |
| + vs the SEC | 4-2 | 67%from 55% | +3.2 | n=6 |
| + vs a P5 opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 55% | +5.9 | n=11 |
| + in September | 9-9 | 50%from 55% | +4.5 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 55% | +4.3 | n=11 |
| + in September | 9-9 | 50%from 55% | +4.5 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 50% | +3.8 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 55% | +4.3 | n=11 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.