How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Ohio — the basics
140 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 31-32 | 49% | +0.6 | n=63 |
| out of conference | 24-25 | 49% | -1.3 | n=49 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 71-56 | 56% | +2.6 | n=127 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 65-56 | 54% | +2.4 | n=121 |
| vs the Sun Belt | 4-4 | 50% | -2.0 | n=8 |
| in September | 21-21 | 50% | -2.7 | n=42 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 36-28 | 56% | +1.8 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Ohio — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 140 graded games: +1.8 pts vs their number per game | n=140 |
Ohio — combinations
20 lean Ohio · 28 lean against
Read this first. 66 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 36-23 | 61%from 56% | +3.3 | n=59 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 32-23 | 58%from 54% | +2.9 | n=55 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in September | 17-13 | 57%from 56% | -1.3 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-6 | 57%from 57% | -0.9 | n=14 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent | 61-47 | 56%from 56% | +3.4 | n=108 |
| + in September | 9-4 | 69%from 56% | +1.3 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-1 | 86%from 69% | +6.6 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 32-18 | 64%from 56% | +4.8 | n=50 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 3-3 | 50%from 56% | -4.2 | n=6 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 20-16 | 56%from 49% | +0.5 | n=36 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 10-7 | 59%from 56% | +3.5 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-3 | 63%from 59% | +4.6 | n=8 |
| + in September | 5-4 | 56%from 59% | -3.1 | n=9 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 3-3 | 50%from 59% | -4.2 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-8 | 53%from 56% | -0.5 | n=17 |
| + in September | 13-13 | 50%from 56% | -3.3 | n=26 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-6 | 45%from 50% | -4.5 | n=11 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 3-3 | 50%from 56% | -4.2 | n=6 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in September | 13-12 | 52%from 54% | -2.3 | n=25 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-6 | 50%from 52% | -2.9 | n=12 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 25-24 | 51%from 49% | +1.7 | n=49 |
| + in September | 5-2 | 71%from 51% | +3.1 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-11 | 52%from 51% | +2.3 | n=23 |
| out of conference + vs the Sun Belt | 4-4 | 50%from 49% | -2.0 | n=8 |
| + in September | 2-4 | 33%from 50% | -7.5 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.