Kent State at Western Michigan—

ST Model Western Michigan -19.7

Trends · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Kent State — the basics

132 graded games since 2014

on the road	31-41	43%	-2.8	n=72
in a conference game	42-47	47%	-2.2	n=89
vs an FBS opponent	55-67	45%	-2.2	n=122
vs a G5 opponent	50-54	48%	-1.6	n=104
vs the Mid-American	42-47	47%	-2.2	n=89
in October	20-20	50%	-1.5	n=40
in the last 5 seasons	24-38	39%	-2.1	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Kent State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +5.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 132 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=132

Kent State — combinations

0 lean Kent State · 90 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 50%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 57% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + in October	20-20	50%from 45%	-1.5	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-11	39%from 50%	-3.2	n=18
on the road + in a conference game	21-22	49%from 43%	-2.1	n=43
+ vs an FBS opponent	21-22	49%from 49%	-2.1	n=43
+ vs a G5 opponent	21-22	49%from 49%	-2.1	n=43
+ vs the Mid-American	21-22	49%from 49%	-2.1	n=43
+ in October	10-11	48%from 49%	-1.9	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
+ vs a G5 opponent	21-22	49%from 49%	-2.1	n=43
+ vs the Mid-American	21-22	49%from 49%	-2.1	n=43
+ in October	10-11	48%from 49%	-1.9	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
+ vs the Mid-American	21-22	49%from 49%	-2.1	n=43
+ in October	10-11	48%from 49%	-1.9	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
+ in October	10-11	48%from 49%	-1.9	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 48%	-8.1	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
on the road + vs the Mid-American	21-22	49%from 43%	-2.1	n=43
+ in October	10-11	48%from 49%	-1.9	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 48%	-8.1	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 49%	-1.9	n=20
in a conference game + in October	18-19	49%from 47%	-2.0	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 49%	-3.5	n=17
vs a G5 opponent + in October	18-19	49%from 48%	-2.0	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 49%	-3.5	n=17

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Western Michigan — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	35-30	54%	+1.8	n=65
in a conference game	49-43	53%	+1.4	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	68-61	53%	+1.2	n=129
vs a G5 opponent	66-51	56%	+2.9	n=117
vs the Mid-American	50-43	54%	+1.5	n=93
in October	24-17	59%	+3.5	n=41
at this venue	35-30	54%	+1.8	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	35-27	56%	+1.4	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Western Michigan — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +9.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Western Michigan has covered 4 straight	n=4

Western Michigan — combinations

76 lean Western Michigan · 50 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 61%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 65% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 59%	+2.0	n=18
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	31-20	61%from 56%	+2.4	n=51
vs an FBS opponent + in October	23-17	57%from 53%	+3.0	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 57%	+0.8	n=17
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 57%	-1.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 47%	-2.4	n=8
vs a G5 opponent + in October	23-17	57%from 56%	+3.4	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 57%	+1.6	n=17
+ at this venue	10-10	50%from 57%	-0.8	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 50%	+0.3	n=9
at home + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 54%	+1.3	n=28
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 54%	+1.3	n=28
in a conference game + in October	22-17	56%from 53%	+2.9	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 56%	+0.3	n=16
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 56%	-1.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 47%	-2.4	n=8
vs the Mid-American + in October	22-17	56%from 54%	+2.9	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 56%	+0.3	n=16
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 56%	-1.9	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 47%	-2.4	n=8
vs the Mid-American + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 54%	-0.3	n=39
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	21-17	55%from 53%	-0.5	n=38
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	58-47	55%from 53%	+2.1	n=105
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 55%	+1.3	n=46
+ in October	22-17	56%from 55%	+2.9	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 56%	+0.3	n=16
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 56%	-1.9	n=19
+ vs the Mid-American	50-43	54%from 55%	+1.5	n=93
+ in October	22-17	56%from 54%	+2.9	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 54%	-0.3	n=39
+ at this venue	23-24	49%from 54%	-1.1	n=47
+ at this venue	27-24	53%from 55%	+0.6	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-10	55%from 53%	-0.7	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.