How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Western Michigan — the basics
141 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 36-31 | 54% | +1.7 | n=67 |
| vs Central Michigan | 6-6 | 50% | +3.9 | n=12 |
| in a conference game | 49-43 | 53% | +1.4 | n=92 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 68-61 | 53% | +1.2 | n=129 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 66-51 | 56% | +2.9 | n=117 |
| vs the Mid-American | 50-43 | 54% | +1.5 | n=93 |
| in October | 24-17 | 59% | +3.5 | n=41 |
| at this venue | 5-1 | 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 35-27 | 56% | +1.4 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Western Michigan — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +9.9 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 141 graded games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game | n=141 |
| Western Michigan has covered 4 straight | n=4 |
Western Michigan — combinations
141 lean Western Michigan · 11 lean against
Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs Central Michigan | 5-1 | 83%from 54% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + in a conference game | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mid-American | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mid-American | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mid-American | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Mid-American | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| on the road + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 54% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| vs Central Michigan + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 50% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| in a conference game + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 53% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| vs an FBS opponent + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 53% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| vs a G5 opponent + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 56% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| vs the Mid-American + at this venue | 5-1 | 83%from 54% | +12.8 | n=6 |
| on the road + in October | 14-7 | 67%from 54% | +7.6 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-3 | 67%from 67% | +3.7 | n=9 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 11-7 | 61%from 59% | +2.0 | n=18 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.