How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Bowling Green — the basics
140 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 35-34 | 51% | +1.5 | n=69 |
| vs Buffalo | 3-7 | 30% | -3.6 | n=10 |
| in a conference game | 40-54 | 43% | -0.3 | n=94 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 55-75 | 42% | -1.5 | n=130 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 50-68 | 42% | -1.4 | n=118 |
| vs the Mid-American | 40-54 | 43% | -0.3 | n=94 |
| in October | 19-22 | 46% | +1.3 | n=41 |
| at this venue | 2-3 | 40% | +4.2 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 31-31 | 50% | +1.4 | n=62 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Bowling Green — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -1.5 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 140 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game | n=140 |
Bowling Green — combinations
39 lean Bowling Green · 129 lean against
Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 63%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 19-11 | 63%from 51% | +7.5 | n=30 |
| on the road + in October | 12-8 | 60%from 51% | +6.0 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 60% | +4.3 | n=10 |
| on the road + in a conference game | 25-22 | 53%from 51% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + in October | 12-7 | 63%from 53% | +6.7 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 63% | +4.3 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 53% | +4.5 | n=20 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 25-22 | 53%from 53% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + in October | 12-7 | 63%from 53% | +6.7 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 53% | +4.5 | n=20 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 25-22 | 53%from 53% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + vs the Mid-American | 25-22 | 53%from 53% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 53% | +4.2 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 25-22 | 53%from 53% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + in October | 12-7 | 63%from 53% | +6.7 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 53% | +4.5 | n=20 |
| + vs the Mid-American | 25-22 | 53%from 53% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 53% | +4.2 | n=5 |
| + vs the Mid-American | 25-22 | 53%from 53% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + in October | 12-7 | 63%from 53% | +6.7 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 53% | +4.5 | n=20 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 53% | +4.2 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 53% | +4.2 | n=5 |
| on the road + vs the Mid-American | 25-22 | 53%from 51% | +3.8 | n=47 |
| + in October | 12-7 | 63%from 53% | +6.7 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-4 | 60%from 63% | +4.3 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 53% | +4.5 | n=20 |
| + at this venue | 2-3 | 40%from 53% | +4.2 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.