Ohio at Akron—

ST Model Ohio -9.3

Trends · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Ohio — the basics

140 graded games since 2014

on the road	31-32	49%	+0.6	n=63
vs Akron	5-6	45%	+1.5	n=11
in a conference game	51-40	56%	+3.4	n=91
vs an FBS opponent	71-56	56%	+2.6	n=127
vs a G5 opponent	65-56	54%	+2.4	n=121
vs the Mid-American	51-40	56%	+3.4	n=91
in November	24-18	57%	+5.3	n=42
at this venue	2-3	40%	+0.9	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	36-28	56%	+1.8	n=64

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Ohio — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 140 graded games: +1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=140

Ohio — combinations

76 lean Ohio · 80 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 68%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in November + in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 57%	+6.0	n=19
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 56%	+4.9	n=42
vs the Mid-American + in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 56%	+4.9	n=42
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	36-23	61%from 56%	+3.3	n=59
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	32-23	58%from 54%	+2.9	n=55
in a conference game + in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 57%	+6.0	n=19
vs an FBS opponent + in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 57%	+6.0	n=19
vs a G5 opponent + in November	24-18	57%from 54%	+5.3	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 57%	+6.0	n=19
vs the Mid-American + in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 57%	+6.0	n=19
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	61-47	56%from 56%	+3.4	n=108
+ in the last 5 seasons	32-18	64%from 56%	+4.8	n=50
+ in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 57%	+6.0	n=19
+ vs the Mid-American	51-40	56%from 56%	+3.4	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 56%	+4.9	n=42
+ in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	+0.9	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	+0.9	n=5
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	51-40	56%from 56%	+3.4	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 56%	+4.9	n=42
+ in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 57%	+6.0	n=19
+ vs a G5 opponent	51-40	56%from 56%	+3.4	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 56%	+4.9	n=42
+ in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ vs the Mid-American	51-40	56%from 56%	+3.4	n=91
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	+0.9	n=5
+ vs the Mid-American	51-40	56%from 56%	+3.4	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 56%	+4.9	n=42
+ in November	24-18	57%from 56%	+5.3	n=42
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	+0.9	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	+0.9	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Akron — the basics

132 graded games since 2014

at home	24-37	39%	-3.4	n=61
vs Ohio	6-5	55%	-1.5	n=11
in a conference game	44-48	48%	-2.5	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	56-68	45%	-2.8	n=124
vs a G5 opponent	52-59	47%	-1.9	n=111
vs the Mid-American	44-48	48%	-2.5	n=92
in November	21-20	51%	-1.7	n=41
at this venue	24-37	39%	-3.4	n=61
in the last 5 seasons	29-29	50%	-0.4	n=58

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Akron — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 132 graded games: -2.4 pts vs their number per game	n=132

Akron — combinations

117 lean Akron · 77 lean against

Read this first. 215 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Ohio + in November	5-1	83%from 55%	+3.2	n=6
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 51%	+4.9	n=16
at home + vs Ohio	3-2	60%from 39%	-0.9	n=5
+ in a conference game	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs the Mid-American	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs the Mid-American	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs the Mid-American	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs the Mid-American	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-0.9	n=5
vs Ohio + at this venue	3-2	60%from 55%	-0.9	n=5
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 48%	+0.9	n=39
vs the Mid-American + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 48%	+0.9	n=39
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	26-21	55%from 47%	+1.0	n=47
vs Ohio + in a conference game	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	n=11
+ in November	5-1	83%from 55%	+3.2	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 55%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	n=11
+ in November	5-1	83%from 55%	+3.2	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 55%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	n=11
+ vs the Mid-American	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	n=11
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	n=11
+ in November	5-1	83%from 55%	+3.2	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 55%	-0.9	n=5
+ vs the Mid-American	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	n=11
+ vs the Mid-American	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	n=11
+ in November	5-1	83%from 55%	+3.2	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 55%	-0.9	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.