Kent State at Bowling Green

ST Model Bowling Green -8.9
Trends · 2026 week 11
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Kent State — the basics
132 graded games since 2014
on the road31-4143%-2.8n=72
vs Bowling Green7-558%-2.3n=12
in a conference game42-4747%-2.2n=89
vs an FBS opponent55-6745%-2.2n=122
vs a G5 opponent50-5448%-1.6n=104
vs the Mid-American42-4747%-2.2n=89
in November22-2250%-2.3n=44
at this venue5-183%+4.3n=6
in the last 5 seasons24-3839%-2.1n=62
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Kent State — form & streaks
Last 12 games: +5.4 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 132 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per gamen=132
Kent State — combinations
93 lean Kent State · 61 lean against
Read this first. 188 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + vs Bowling Green5-183%from 43%+4.3n=6
+ in a conference game5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs the Mid-American5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ at this venue5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs the Mid-American5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ at this venue5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs the Mid-American5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ at this venue5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ vs the Mid-American5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ at this venue5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
+ at this venue5-183%from 83%+4.3n=6
on the road + at this venue5-183%from 43%+4.3n=6
vs Bowling Green + at this venue5-183%from 58%+4.3n=6
in a conference game + at this venue5-183%from 47%+4.3n=6
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue5-183%from 45%+4.3n=6
vs a G5 opponent + at this venue5-183%from 48%+4.3n=6
vs the Mid-American + at this venue5-183%from 47%+4.3n=6
vs Bowling Green + in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 58%+3.3n=5
vs Bowling Green + in a conference game7-558%from 58%-2.3n=12
+ at this venue5-183%from 58%+4.3n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 58%+3.3n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent7-558%from 58%-2.3n=12
+ at this venue5-183%from 58%+4.3n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 58%+3.3n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent7-558%from 58%-2.3n=12
+ vs the Mid-American7-558%from 58%-2.3n=12
+ in November3-350%from 58%-5.3n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent7-558%from 58%-2.3n=12
+ at this venue5-183%from 58%+4.3n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 58%+3.3n=5
+ vs the Mid-American7-558%from 58%-2.3n=12
+ in November3-350%from 58%-5.3n=6
+ vs the Mid-American7-558%from 58%-2.3n=12
+ at this venue5-183%from 58%+4.3n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons3-260%from 58%+3.3n=5
+ in November3-350%from 58%-5.3n=6
+ in November3-350%from 58%-5.3n=6
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.