Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan—

ST Model Western Michigan -12.3

Trends · 2026 week 12

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Eastern Michigan — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

on the road	42-29	59%	+3.0	n=71
vs Western Michigan	6-5	55%	+2.9	n=11
in a conference game	46-44	51%	-0.1	n=90
vs an FBS opponent	69-61	53%	+0.1	n=130
vs a G5 opponent	60-56	52%	-0.4	n=116
vs the Mid-American	46-44	51%	-0.1	n=90
in November	18-21	46%	-0.5	n=39
at this venue	4-2	67%	+6.7	n=6
in the last 5 seasons	32-29	52%	-0.7	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Eastern Michigan — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=139
Eastern Michigan has covered 3 straight	n=3

Eastern Michigan — combinations

136 lean Eastern Michigan · 21 lean against

Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs Western Michigan	4-2	67%from 59%	+6.7	n=6
+ in a conference game	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	n=6
on the road + at this venue	4-2	67%from 59%	+6.7	n=6
vs Western Michigan + at this venue	4-2	67%from 55%	+6.7	n=6
in a conference game + at this venue	4-2	67%from 51%	+6.7	n=6
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	4-2	67%from 53%	+6.7	n=6
vs a G5 opponent + at this venue	4-2	67%from 52%	+6.7	n=6
vs the Mid-American + at this venue	4-2	67%from 51%	+6.7	n=6
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	42-29	59%from 59%	+3.0	n=71
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 59%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	27-19	59%from 59%	+3.2	n=46
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 59%	+6.7	n=6
+ in November	12-9	57%from 59%	+2.5	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 59%	+4.2	n=20
+ vs a G5 opponent	31-23	57%from 59%	+2.9	n=54
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 57%	+6.7	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	27-19	59%from 57%	+3.2	n=46
+ in November	12-9	57%from 57%	+2.5	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-12	48%from 57%	+1.8	n=23
+ in November	12-9	57%from 59%	+2.5	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 57%	+2.5	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-14	53%from 59%	+2.8	n=30

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Western Michigan — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	35-30	54%	+1.8	n=65
vs Eastern Michigan	5-6	45%	-2.9	n=11
in a conference game	49-43	53%	+1.4	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	68-61	53%	+1.2	n=129
vs a G5 opponent	66-51	56%	+2.9	n=117
vs the Mid-American	50-43	54%	+1.5	n=93
in November	22-21	51%	-0.4	n=43
at this venue	35-30	54%	+1.8	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	35-27	56%	+1.4	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Western Michigan — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +9.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Western Michigan has covered 4 straight	n=4

Western Michigan — combinations

60 lean Western Michigan · 119 lean against

Read this first. 204 combinations shown. The best one here is 61%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	31-20	61%from 56%	+2.4	n=51
at home + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 54%	+1.3	n=28
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 54%	+1.3	n=28
vs the Mid-American + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 54%	-0.3	n=39
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	21-17	55%from 53%	-0.5	n=38
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	58-47	55%from 53%	+2.1	n=105
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 55%	+1.3	n=46
+ vs the Mid-American	50-43	54%from 55%	+1.5	n=93
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 54%	-0.3	n=39
+ in November	22-21	51%from 54%	-0.4	n=43
+ at this venue	23-24	49%from 54%	-1.1	n=47
+ at this venue	27-24	53%from 55%	+0.6	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-10	55%from 53%	-0.7	n=22
+ in November	22-21	51%from 55%	-0.4	n=43
+ at this venue	11-12	48%from 51%	-2.5	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 51%	-3.3	n=18
at home + vs a G5 opponent	34-28	55%from 54%	+2.0	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-11	59%from 55%	+1.7	n=27
+ at this venue	34-28	55%from 55%	+2.0	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-11	59%from 55%	+1.7	n=27
+ vs the Mid-American	23-24	49%from 55%	-1.1	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-10	50%from 49%	-2.0	n=20
+ at this venue	23-24	49%from 49%	-1.1	n=47
+ in November	11-12	48%from 49%	-2.5	n=23
+ in November	11-12	48%from 55%	-2.5	n=23
+ at this venue	11-12	48%from 48%	-2.5	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 48%	-5.3	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.