Miami (OH) at Western Michigan—

ST Model Western Michigan -6.2

Trends · 2026 week 13

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Miami (OH) — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

on the road	38-32	54%	+1.4	n=70
vs Western Michigan	3-5	38%	-5.6	n=8
in a conference game	54-38	59%	+2.6	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	75-58	56%	+1.5	n=133
vs a G5 opponent	66-53	55%	+1.9	n=119
vs the Mid-American	54-39	58%	+2.5	n=93
in November	21-19	53%	+1.7	n=40
in the last 5 seasons	38-30	56%	+2.0	n=68

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Miami (OH) — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Miami (OH) has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Miami (OH) — combinations

64 lean Miami (OH) · 19 lean against

Read this first. 113 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	25-17	60%from 59%	+3.2	n=42
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	54-38	59%from 59%	+2.6	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-17	60%from 59%	+3.2	n=42
+ vs a G5 opponent	54-38	59%from 59%	+2.6	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-17	60%from 59%	+3.2	n=42
+ vs the Mid-American	54-38	59%from 59%	+2.6	n=92
+ in November	21-19	53%from 59%	+1.7	n=40
+ vs the Mid-American	54-38	59%from 59%	+2.6	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-17	60%from 59%	+3.2	n=42
+ in November	21-19	53%from 59%	+1.7	n=40
+ in November	21-19	53%from 59%	+1.7	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 53%	+2.0	n=18
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent	54-38	59%from 59%	+2.6	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-17	60%from 59%	+3.2	n=42
+ vs the Mid-American	54-38	59%from 59%	+2.6	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-17	60%from 59%	+3.2	n=42
+ in November	21-19	53%from 59%	+1.7	n=40
+ in November	21-19	53%from 59%	+1.7	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 53%	+2.0	n=18
in a conference game + vs the Mid-American	54-38	59%from 59%	+2.6	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-17	60%from 59%	+3.2	n=42
+ in November	21-19	53%from 59%	+1.7	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 53%	+2.0	n=18
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	32-23	58%from 55%	+2.7	n=55
vs the Mid-American + in the last 5 seasons	25-18	58%from 58%	+3.0	n=43

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Western Michigan — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

at home	35-30	54%	+1.8	n=65
vs Miami (OH)	5-3	63%	+5.6	n=8
in a conference game	49-43	53%	+1.4	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	68-61	53%	+1.2	n=129
vs a G5 opponent	66-51	56%	+2.9	n=117
vs the Mid-American	50-43	54%	+1.5	n=93
in November	22-21	51%	-0.4	n=43
at this venue	35-30	54%	+1.8	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	35-27	56%	+1.4	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Western Michigan — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +9.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Western Michigan has covered 4 straight	n=4

Western Michigan — combinations

74 lean Western Michigan · 78 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 68% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Miami (OH) + vs an FBS opponent	5-3	63%from 63%	+5.6	n=8
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-3	63%from 63%	+5.6	n=8
+ vs the Mid-American	5-3	63%from 63%	+5.6	n=8
+ vs the Mid-American	5-3	63%from 63%	+5.6	n=8
vs Miami (OH) + vs a G5 opponent	5-3	63%from 63%	+5.6	n=8
+ vs the Mid-American	5-3	63%from 63%	+5.6	n=8
vs Miami (OH) + vs the Mid-American	5-3	63%from 63%	+5.6	n=8
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	31-20	61%from 56%	+2.4	n=51
at home + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 54%	+1.3	n=28
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 54%	+1.3	n=28
vs Miami (OH) + in a conference game	4-3	57%from 63%	+5.3	n=7
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.3	n=7
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.3	n=7
+ vs the Mid-American	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.3	n=7
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.3	n=7
+ vs the Mid-American	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.3	n=7
+ vs the Mid-American	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.3	n=7
vs the Mid-American + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 54%	-0.3	n=39
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	21-17	55%from 53%	-0.5	n=38
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	58-47	55%from 53%	+2.1	n=105
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-19	59%from 55%	+1.3	n=46
+ vs the Mid-American	50-43	54%from 55%	+1.5	n=93
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 54%	-0.3	n=39
+ in November	22-21	51%from 54%	-0.4	n=43
+ at this venue	23-24	49%from 54%	-1.1	n=47
+ at this venue	27-24	53%from 55%	+0.6	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-10	55%from 53%	-0.7	n=22
+ in November	22-21	51%from 55%	-0.4	n=43
+ at this venue	11-12	48%from 51%	-2.5	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 51%	-3.3	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.