Miami (OH) at Central Michigan—

ST Model Miami (OH) -2

Trends · 2026 week 8

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Miami (OH) — the basics

141 graded games since 2014

on the road	38-32	54%	+1.4	n=70
vs Central Michigan	6-0	100%	+16.8	n=6
in a conference game	54-38	59%	+2.6	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	75-58	56%	+1.5	n=133
vs a G5 opponent	66-53	55%	+1.9	n=119
vs the Mid-American	54-39	58%	+2.5	n=93
in October	27-17	61%	+3.1	n=44
in the last 5 seasons	38-30	56%	+2.0	n=68

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Miami (OH) — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 141 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=141
Miami (OH) has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Miami (OH) — combinations

105 lean Miami (OH) · 0 lean against

Read this first. 113 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 15.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Central Michigan + in a conference game	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
vs Central Michigan + vs an FBS opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
vs Central Michigan + vs a G5 opponent	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
+ vs the Mid-American	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
vs Central Michigan + vs the Mid-American	6-0	100%from 100%	+16.8	n=6
in October + in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 61%	+5.5	n=21
vs an FBS opponent + in October	27-17	61%from 56%	+3.1	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 61%	+5.5	n=21
in a conference game + in October	26-17	60%from 59%	+3.1	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 60%	+5.5	n=21
vs a G5 opponent + in October	26-17	60%from 55%	+3.1	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 60%	+5.5	n=21
vs the Mid-American + in October	26-17	60%from 58%	+3.1	n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 60%	+5.5	n=21
on the road + in October	15-10	60%from 54%	+3.8	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 60%	+4.9	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Central Michigan — the basics

135 graded games since 2014

at home	31-30	51%	+0.2	n=61
vs Miami (OH)	0-6	0%	-16.8	n=6
in a conference game	49-41	54%	+1.0	n=90
vs an FBS opponent	66-60	52%	-0.4	n=126
vs a G5 opponent	58-52	53%	-0.1	n=110
vs the Mid-American	49-41	54%	+1.0	n=90
in October	18-23	44%	-0.9	n=41
at this venue	31-30	51%	+0.2	n=61
in the last 5 seasons	28-32	47%	-1.0	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Central Michigan — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 135 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=135
Central Michigan has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

Central Michigan — combinations

63 lean Central Michigan · 88 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 55%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	49-41	54%from 54%	+1.0	n=90
+ vs a G5 opponent	49-41	54%from 54%	+1.0	n=90
+ vs the Mid-American	49-41	54%from 54%	+1.0	n=90
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	+0.9	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 54%	-0.8	n=40
+ in October	17-23	43%from 54%	-1.0	n=40
+ vs the Mid-American	49-41	54%from 54%	+1.0	n=90
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	+0.9	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 54%	-0.8	n=40
+ in October	17-23	43%from 54%	-1.0	n=40
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	+0.9	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 51%	+1.6	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 54%	-0.8	n=40
+ in October	17-23	43%from 54%	-1.0	n=40
+ at this venue	8-10	44%from 43%	-1.6	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-13	28%from 43%	-5.7	n=18
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent	49-41	54%from 54%	+1.0	n=90
+ vs the Mid-American	49-41	54%from 54%	+1.0	n=90
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	+0.9	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 54%	-0.8	n=40
+ in October	17-23	43%from 54%	-1.0	n=40
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	+0.9	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 51%	+1.6	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-22	45%from 54%	-0.8	n=40
+ in October	17-23	43%from 54%	-1.0	n=40
+ at this venue	8-10	44%from 43%	-1.6	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-13	28%from 43%	-5.7	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.