Louisiana Tech at LSU—

ST Model LSU -23.7

Trends · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Louisiana Tech — the basics

145 graded games since 2014

on the road	37-35	51%	-0.4	n=72
out of conference	31-22	58%	+2.6	n=53
vs an FBS opponent	72-63	53%	+1.3	n=135
vs a P5 opponent	17-9	65%	+2.5	n=26
vs the SEC	7-4	64%	+1.5	n=11
in September	27-18	60%	+3.4	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	28-33	46%	-0.5	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Louisiana Tech — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 145 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=145

Louisiana Tech — combinations

72 lean Louisiana Tech · 3 lean against

Read this first. 82 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 69% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 65%	+5.9	n=9
vs the SEC + in September	6-2	75%from 64%	+5.3	n=8
on the road + in September	18-7	72%from 51%	+7.6	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 72%	+7.0	n=10
vs a P5 opponent + in September	10-4	71%from 65%	+4.0	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 71%	+9.3	n=6
on the road + vs the SEC	7-3	70%from 51%	+4.2	n=10
+ in September	6-1	86%from 70%	+9.6	n=7
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent	17-9	65%from 58%	+2.5	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 65%	+5.9	n=9
+ in September	10-4	71%from 65%	+4.0	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 71%	+9.3	n=6
+ vs the SEC	7-4	64%from 65%	+1.5	n=11
+ in September	6-2	75%from 64%	+5.3	n=8
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent	17-9	65%from 53%	+2.5	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 65%	+5.9	n=9
+ in September	10-4	71%from 65%	+4.0	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 71%	+9.3	n=6
+ vs the SEC	7-4	64%from 65%	+1.5	n=11
+ in September	6-2	75%from 64%	+5.3	n=8
vs an FBS opponent + in September	23-13	64%from 53%	+5.2	n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 64%	+5.0	n=17
on the road + vs a P5 opponent	14-8	64%from 51%	+1.9	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 64%	+5.9	n=9
+ in September	10-3	77%from 64%	+6.3	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 77%	+9.3	n=6
+ vs the SEC	7-3	70%from 64%	+4.2	n=10
+ in September	6-1	86%from 70%	+9.6	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

LSU — the basics

146 graded games since 2014

at home	45-33	58%	+2.3	n=78
out of conference	24-26	48%	+0.8	n=50
vs an FBS opponent	76-62	55%	+1.7	n=138
vs a G5 opponent	14-14	50%	-0.7	n=28
vs the Sun Belt	5-2	71%	+3.2	n=7
in September	19-27	41%	-2.6	n=46
at this venue	45-33	58%	+2.3	n=78
in the last 5 seasons	30-35	46%	-0.1	n=65

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

LSU — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -5.6 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 146 graded games: +1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=146

LSU — combinations

78 lean LSU · 26 lean against

Read this first. 123 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + vs the Sun Belt	5-2	71%from 58%	+3.2	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.2	n=7
out of conference + vs the Sun Belt	5-2	71%from 48%	+3.2	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.2	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Sun Belt	5-2	71%from 55%	+3.2	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.2	n=7
vs a G5 opponent + vs the Sun Belt	5-2	71%from 50%	+3.2	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.2	n=7
vs the Sun Belt + at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.2	n=7
at home + vs an FBS opponent	43-27	61%from 58%	+3.2	n=70
+ vs the Sun Belt	5-2	71%from 61%	+3.2	n=7
+ at this venue	5-2	71%from 71%	+3.2	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 61%	+1.8	n=29
+ at this venue	43-27	61%from 61%	+3.2	n=70
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 61%	+1.8	n=29
+ vs a G5 opponent	12-8	60%from 61%	+1.2	n=20
+ vs the Sun Belt	5-2	71%from 60%	+3.2	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 60%	-0.8	n=8
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 60%	+1.2	n=20
+ in September	6-4	60%from 60%	+0.9	n=10
+ in September	10-9	53%from 61%	-0.0	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 53%	+1.1	n=8
+ at this venue	10-9	53%from 53%	-0.0	n=19
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	43-27	61%from 55%	+3.2	n=70
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 61%	+1.8	n=29

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.