Louisiana Tech at Baylor

ST Model Baylor -11.8
Trends · 2026 week 3
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Louisiana Tech — the basics
145 graded games since 2014
on the road37-3551%-0.4n=72
out of conference31-2258%+2.6n=53
vs an FBS opponent72-6353%+1.3n=135
vs a P5 opponent17-965%+2.5n=26
vs the Big 122-340%-4.8n=5
in September27-1860%+3.4n=45
in the last 5 seasons28-3346%-0.5n=61
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Louisiana Tech — form & streaks
Last 12 games: +4.4 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 145 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per gamen=145
Louisiana Tech — combinations
47 lean Louisiana Tech · 17 lean against
Read this first. 71 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 70% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
vs a P5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 65%+5.9n=9
on the road + in September18-772%from 51%+7.6n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons7-370%from 72%+7.0n=10
vs a P5 opponent + in September10-471%from 65%+4.0n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 71%+9.3n=6
out of conference + vs a P5 opponent17-965%from 58%+2.5n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 65%+5.9n=9
+ in September10-471%from 65%+4.0n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 71%+9.3n=6
+ vs the Big 122-340%from 65%-4.8n=5
vs an FBS opponent + vs a P5 opponent17-965%from 53%+2.5n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 65%+5.9n=9
+ in September10-471%from 65%+4.0n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 71%+9.3n=6
+ vs the Big 122-340%from 65%-4.8n=5
vs an FBS opponent + in September23-1364%from 53%+5.2n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons10-759%from 64%+5.0n=17
on the road + vs a P5 opponent14-864%from 51%+1.9n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 64%+5.9n=9
+ in September10-377%from 64%+6.3n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons5-183%from 77%+9.3n=6
+ vs the Big 122-340%from 64%-4.8n=5
out of conference + vs an FBS opponent26-1760%from 58%+3.8n=43
+ vs a P5 opponent17-965%from 60%+2.5n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons7-278%from 65%+5.9n=9
+ in September10-471%from 65%+4.0n=14
+ vs the Big 122-340%from 65%-4.8n=5
+ in September15-963%from 60%+4.3n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons7-558%from 63%+3.7n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons9-853%from 60%+2.0n=17
+ vs the Big 122-340%from 60%-4.8n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.