Old Dominion at App State—

ST Model Old Dominion -13.5

Trends · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Old Dominion — the basics

131 graded games since 2014

on the road	37-27	58%	+1.7	n=64
vs App State	2-3	40%	-9.5	n=5
in a conference game	43-43	50%	+0.7	n=86
vs an FBS opponent	62-61	50%	+0.8	n=123
vs a G5 opponent	53-55	49%	+0.6	n=108
vs the Sun Belt	17-16	52%	+1.1	n=33
in October	17-25	40%	-2.6	n=42
in the last 5 seasons	35-27	56%	+4.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Old Dominion — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 131 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=131

Old Dominion — combinations

64 lean Old Dominion · 22 lean against

Read this first. 106 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 63% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs the Sun Belt	11-5	69%from 58%	+2.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 69%	+2.5	n=16
+ in October	4-4	50%from 69%	-1.6	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-1.6	n=8
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	20-10	67%from 58%	+4.5	n=30
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	37-27	58%from 58%	+1.7	n=64
+ vs the Sun Belt	11-5	69%from 58%	+2.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 69%	+2.5	n=16
+ in October	4-4	50%from 69%	-1.6	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-10	67%from 58%	+4.5	n=30
+ vs a G5 opponent	28-21	57%from 58%	+1.6	n=49
+ vs the Sun Belt	11-5	69%from 57%	+2.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-8	65%from 57%	+3.4	n=23
+ in October	10-13	43%from 57%	-1.5	n=23
+ in October	10-13	43%from 58%	-1.5	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 43%	-0.1	n=10
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 50%	+3.8	n=40
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	28-21	57%from 58%	+1.6	n=49
+ vs the Sun Belt	11-5	69%from 57%	+2.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 69%	+2.5	n=16
+ in October	4-4	50%from 69%	-1.6	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-8	65%from 57%	+3.4	n=23
+ in October	10-13	43%from 57%	-1.5	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 43%	-0.1	n=10
vs the Sun Belt + in October	8-6	57%from 52%	+3.8	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 57%	+3.8	n=14

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

App State — the basics

144 graded games since 2014

at home	30-38	44%	-0.2	n=68
vs Old Dominion	3-2	60%	+9.5	n=5
in a conference game	43-51	46%	+0.9	n=94
vs an FBS opponent	62-67	48%	+1.3	n=129
vs a G5 opponent	59-69	46%	+1.4	n=128
vs the Sun Belt	43-52	45%	+0.8	n=95
in October	20-22	48%	+0.3	n=42
at this venue	30-38	44%	-0.2	n=68
in the last 5 seasons	25-37	40%	-2.4	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

App State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -7.2 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 144 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=144
App State has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

App State — combinations

3 lean App State · 142 lean against

Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Old Dominion + vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.5	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.5	n=5
vs Old Dominion + vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+9.5	n=5
vs an FBS opponent + in October	19-19	50%from 48%	+0.7	n=38
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 50%	-1.6	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 47%	-0.4	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-9	44%from 50%	-3.6	n=16
vs a G5 opponent + in October	19-21	48%from 46%	+0.4	n=40
+ at this venue	9-12	43%from 48%	-1.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 43%	-0.7	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 48%	-3.5	n=17
in a conference game + in October	17-19	47%from 46%	+0.7	n=36
+ at this venue	7-10	41%from 47%	-1.7	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 41%	-0.8	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-9	40%from 47%	-3.9	n=15
vs the Sun Belt + in October	17-19	47%from 45%	+0.7	n=36
+ at this venue	7-10	41%from 47%	-1.7	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 41%	-0.8	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-9	40%from 47%	-3.9	n=15
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	53-60	47%from 48%	+1.5	n=113
+ in October	18-18	50%from 47%	+0.9	n=36
+ at this venue	8-10	44%from 50%	-1.8	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-9	40%from 50%	-3.9	n=15
+ at this venue	23-28	45%from 47%	+0.2	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-12	48%from 45%	+0.1	n=23
+ vs the Sun Belt	41-50	45%from 47%	+0.9	n=91
+ in October	17-17	50%from 45%	+1.1	n=34
+ at this venue	20-24	45%from 45%	+0.5	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-26	38%from 45%	-2.6	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-30	40%from 47%	-2.4	n=50

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.