Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina—

ST Model Georgia Southern -3.8

Trends · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Georgia Southern — the basics

150 graded games since 2014

on the road	33-40	45%	-1.8	n=73
vs Coastal Carolina	5-4	56%	+1.7	n=9
in a conference game	49-45	52%	+0.9	n=94
vs an FBS opponent	72-64	53%	+1.2	n=136
vs a G5 opponent	67-58	54%	+1.2	n=125
vs the Sun Belt	50-45	53%	+1.0	n=95
in October	22-21	51%	+1.4	n=43
at this venue	3-3	50%	-0.7	n=6
in the last 5 seasons	33-30	52%	-0.6	n=63

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Georgia Southern — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -2.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 150 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=150
Georgia Southern has covered 2 straight	n=2

Georgia Southern — combinations

110 lean Georgia Southern · 40 lean against

Read this first. 177 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Coastal Carolina + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+6.0	n=5
on the road + vs Coastal Carolina	3-2	60%from 45%	+3.5	n=5
+ in a conference game	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs the Sun Belt	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs the Sun Belt	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs the Sun Belt	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs the Sun Belt	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.5	n=5
on the road + at this venue	3-2	60%from 45%	+3.5	n=5
vs Coastal Carolina + at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+3.5	n=5
in a conference game + at this venue	3-2	60%from 52%	+3.5	n=5
vs the Sun Belt + at this venue	3-2	60%from 53%	+3.5	n=5
in October + in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 51%	+0.9	n=16
vs Coastal Carolina + in a conference game	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.7	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+6.0	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.7	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+6.0	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.7	n=9
+ vs the Sun Belt	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.7	n=9
+ vs a G5 opponent	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.7	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+6.0	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+3.5	n=5
+ vs the Sun Belt	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.7	n=9
+ vs the Sun Belt	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.7	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+6.0	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 56%	+3.5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Coastal Carolina — the basics

108 graded games since 2014

at home	23-28	45%	-2.9	n=51
vs Georgia Southern	4-5	44%	-1.7	n=9
in a conference game	34-38	47%	-0.8	n=72
vs an FBS opponent	47-52	47%	-0.3	n=99
vs a G5 opponent	42-50	46%	-1.3	n=92
vs the Sun Belt	34-38	47%	-0.8	n=72
in October	18-13	58%	+2.3	n=31
at this venue	23-29	44%	-3.2	n=52
in the last 5 seasons	28-34	45%	-2.5	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Coastal Carolina — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 108 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=108

Coastal Carolina — combinations

36 lean Coastal Carolina · 170 lean against

Read this first. 215 combinations shown. The best one here is 58%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 61% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + in October	18-13	58%from 47%	+2.3	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 58%	+1.8	n=18
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 58%	+0.2	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 47%	+4.2	n=9
in a conference game + in October	17-13	57%from 47%	+1.9	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 57%	+1.8	n=18
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 57%	+0.2	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 47%	+4.2	n=9
vs a G5 opponent + in October	17-13	57%from 46%	+1.9	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 57%	+1.8	n=18
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 57%	+0.2	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 47%	+4.2	n=9
vs the Sun Belt + in October	17-13	57%from 47%	+1.9	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 57%	+1.8	n=18
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 57%	+0.2	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 47%	+4.2	n=9
in October + in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 58%	+1.8	n=18
at home + in the last 5 seasons	14-15	48%from 45%	-3.0	n=29
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent	34-38	47%from 47%	-0.8	n=72
+ in October	17-13	57%from 47%	+1.9	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 57%	+1.8	n=18
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 57%	+0.2	n=15
+ vs the Sun Belt	34-38	47%from 47%	-0.8	n=72
+ in October	17-13	57%from 47%	+1.9	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-22	46%from 47%	-1.3	n=41
+ at this venue	14-21	40%from 47%	-4.0	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-22	46%from 47%	-1.3	n=41
+ at this venue	14-21	40%from 47%	-4.0	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-11	45%from 40%	-2.5	n=20

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.