How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Georgia Southern — the basics
150 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 33-40 | 45% | -1.8 | n=73 |
| out of conference | 32-24 | 57% | +1.5 | n=56 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 72-64 | 53% | +1.2 | n=136 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 67-58 | 54% | +1.2 | n=125 |
| vs the Conference USA | 3-3 | 50% | +2.4 | n=6 |
| in September | 28-17 | 62% | +2.4 | n=45 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 33-30 | 52% | -0.6 | n=63 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Georgia Southern — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -2.4 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 150 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game | n=150 |
| Georgia Southern has covered 2 straight | n=2 |
Georgia Southern — combinations
26 lean Georgia Southern · 21 lean against
Read this first. 64 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs a G5 opponent + in September | 22-11 | 67%from 54% | +2.2 | n=33 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-5 | 69%from 67% | +2.2 | n=16 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in September | 20-12 | 63%from 53% | +3.4 | n=32 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-7 | 56%from 63% | +2.5 | n=16 |
| out of conference + vs a G5 opponent | 18-13 | 58%from 57% | +2.0 | n=31 |
| + in September | 13-8 | 62%from 58% | +1.4 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-4 | 67%from 62% | +1.2 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-8 | 56%from 58% | -2.2 | n=18 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 3-3 | 50%from 58% | +2.4 | n=6 |
| out of conference + in September | 19-14 | 58%from 57% | +2.0 | n=33 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-8 | 53%from 58% | +0.8 | n=17 |
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 12-9 | 57%from 62% | +1.7 | n=21 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 25-19 | 57%from 57% | +2.1 | n=44 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 11-8 | 58%from 57% | +3.5 | n=19 |
| + in September | 6-3 | 67%from 58% | +3.9 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-6 | 54%from 58% | -2.7 | n=13 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 3-3 | 50%from 58% | +2.4 | n=6 |
| + in September | 12-9 | 57%from 57% | +3.4 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-6 | 50%from 57% | +1.5 | n=12 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 3-3 | 50%from 57% | +2.4 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-10 | 47%from 57% | -1.7 | n=19 |
| on the road + in September | 12-10 | 55%from 45% | +2.8 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-7 | 36%from 55% | +1.4 | n=11 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 31-26 | 54%from 54% | -0.8 | n=57 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent | 58-53 | 52%from 53% | +1.3 | n=111 |
| + in September | 14-6 | 70%from 52% | +3.6 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-3 | 73%from 70% | +3.6 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 28-24 | 54%from 52% | -0.8 | n=52 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 3-3 | 50%from 52% | +2.4 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.