How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Georgia State — the basics
130 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 37-24 | 61% | +3.3 | n=61 |
| out of conference | 20-21 | 49% | +1.3 | n=41 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 63-60 | 51% | -0.2 | n=123 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 54-58 | 48% | -1.3 | n=112 |
| vs the Conference USA | 4-2 | 67% | +4.6 | n=6 |
| in September | 12-18 | 40% | -2.9 | n=30 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 27-33 | 45% | -1.8 | n=60 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Georgia State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: -6.9 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 130 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game | n=130 |
Georgia State — combinations
23 lean Georgia State · 25 lean against
Read this first. 59 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| out of conference + vs the Conference USA | 4-2 | 67%from 49% | +4.6 | n=6 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the Conference USA | 4-2 | 67%from 51% | +4.6 | n=6 |
| vs a G5 opponent + vs the Conference USA | 4-2 | 67%from 48% | +4.6 | n=6 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 30-17 | 64%from 61% | +3.5 | n=47 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 64% | +5.3 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 64% | +4.2 | n=21 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 37-23 | 62%from 61% | +3.6 | n=60 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 30-16 | 65%from 62% | +4.0 | n=46 |
| + in September | 4-1 | 80%from 65% | +5.3 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 65% | +4.2 | n=21 |
| + in September | 8-6 | 57%from 62% | +1.6 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 57% | -0.1 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-13 | 55%from 62% | +1.7 | n=29 |
| on the road + in September | 8-6 | 57%from 61% | +1.6 | n=14 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 57% | -0.1 | n=7 |
| on the road + out of conference | 10-8 | 56%from 61% | +3.5 | n=18 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 10-8 | 56%from 56% | +3.5 | n=18 |
| + in September | 6-6 | 50%from 56% | -0.3 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 56% | -3.1 | n=9 |
| + in September | 6-6 | 50%from 56% | -0.3 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 2-4 | 33%from 50% | -3.4 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-6 | 33%from 56% | -3.1 | n=9 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 16-13 | 55%from 61% | +1.7 | n=29 |
| out of conference + vs an FBS opponent | 19-17 | 53%from 49% | +2.7 | n=36 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 4-2 | 67%from 53% | +4.6 | n=6 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 9-9 | 50%from 53% | +3.1 | n=18 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 4-2 | 67%from 50% | +4.6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 50% | +6.4 | n=6 |
| + in September | 3-6 | 33%from 50% | -3.6 | n=9 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-9 | 47%from 53% | -0.2 | n=17 |
| + in September | 9-12 | 43%from 53% | -1.9 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-7 | 42%from 43% | -3.9 | n=12 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.