James Madison at Old Dominion—

ST Model Old Dominion -0.9

Trends · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

James Madison — the basics

56 graded games since 2014

on the road	19-10	66%	+4.3	n=29
in a conference game	19-13	59%	+4.9	n=32
vs an FBS opponent	32-20	62%	+5.1	n=52
vs a G5 opponent	29-17	63%	+5.6	n=46
vs the Sun Belt	19-14	58%	+4.5	n=33
in September	15-4	79%	+8.4	n=19
in the last 5 seasons	31-20	61%	+4.7	n=51

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

James Madison — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +7.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 56 graded games: +4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=56

James Madison — combinations

64 lean James Madison · 0 lean against

Read this first. 71 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 5.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + in September	14-2	88%from 62%	+11.6	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-1	92%from 88%	+12.6	n=12
vs a G5 opponent + in September	12-2	86%from 63%	+9.5	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-2	83%from 86%	+8.2	n=12
on the road + in September	10-2	83%from 66%	+8.8	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 83%	+8.8	n=8
in September + in the last 5 seasons	12-3	80%from 79%	+8.3	n=15
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	15-6	71%from 66%	+6.4	n=21
+ in September	7-0	100%from 71%	+11.3	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 100%	+8.8	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 71%	+5.2	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	10-6	63%from 71%	+4.4	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 63%	+4.4	n=16
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	16-8	67%from 66%	+4.7	n=24
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	19-10	66%from 66%	+4.3	n=29
+ in September	10-2	83%from 66%	+8.8	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 83%	+8.8	n=8
+ vs a G5 opponent	15-6	71%from 66%	+6.4	n=21
+ in September	7-0	100%from 71%	+11.3	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-6	68%from 71%	+5.2	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	10-6	63%from 71%	+4.4	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-8	67%from 66%	+4.7	n=24
+ vs the Sun Belt	10-6	63%from 66%	+4.4	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 63%	+4.4	n=16
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	27-15	64%from 62%	+6.5	n=42
+ in September	11-0	100%from 64%	+14.6	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-0	100%from 100%	+13.9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-15	63%from 64%	+6.0	n=40
+ vs the Sun Belt	19-14	58%from 64%	+4.5	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-14	58%from 58%	+4.5	n=33

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Old Dominion — the basics

131 graded games since 2014

at home	28-36	44%	+0.2	n=64
in a conference game	43-43	50%	+0.7	n=86
vs an FBS opponent	62-61	50%	+0.8	n=123
vs a G5 opponent	53-55	49%	+0.6	n=108
vs the Sun Belt	17-16	52%	+1.1	n=33
in September	22-18	55%	+2.1	n=40
at this venue	28-36	44%	+0.2	n=64
in the last 5 seasons	35-27	56%	+4.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Old Dominion — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 131 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=131

Old Dominion — combinations

36 lean Old Dominion · 78 lean against

Read this first. 128 combinations shown. The best one here is 61%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in September + in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 55%	+6.8	n=18
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 50%	+3.8	n=40
in a conference game + in September	4-3	57%from 50%	+5.1	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	33-27	55%from 50%	+3.6	n=60
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	28-23	55%from 49%	+3.9	n=51
vs a G5 opponent + in September	12-10	55%from 49%	+2.1	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 55%	+7.7	n=10
+ at this venue	7-8	47%from 55%	+0.3	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 47%	+8.5	n=7
vs an FBS opponent + in September	19-16	54%from 50%	+1.7	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 54%	+4.8	n=16
+ at this venue	7-9	44%from 54%	+0.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 44%	+3.9	n=8
in a conference game + vs the Sun Belt	17-15	53%from 50%	+2.4	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 53%	+2.4	n=32
+ at this venue	6-10	38%from 53%	+2.3	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 38%	+2.3	n=16
vs the Sun Belt + in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 52%	+2.4	n=32
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Sun Belt	17-16	52%from 50%	+1.1	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 52%	+2.4	n=32
+ at this venue	6-11	35%from 52%	-0.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 35%	+2.3	n=16
vs a G5 opponent + vs the Sun Belt	17-16	52%from 49%	+1.1	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 52%	+2.4	n=32
+ at this venue	6-11	35%from 52%	-0.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 35%	+2.3	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.