How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
New Mexico State — the basics
124 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 32-33 | 49% | -0.2 | n=65 |
| in a conference game | 30-27 | 53% | +0.9 | n=57 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 58-53 | 52% | +0.4 | n=111 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 55-46 | 54% | +0.6 | n=101 |
| vs the Conference USA | 19-14 | 58% | +0.5 | n=33 |
| in November | 21-16 | 57% | +4.3 | n=37 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 37-27 | 58% | +3.3 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
New Mexico State — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 124 graded games: +0.8 pts vs their number per game | n=124 |
New Mexico State — combinations
73 lean New Mexico State · 7 lean against
Read this first. 92 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 69% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs the Conference USA + in November | 8-3 | 73%from 58% | +2.7 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 73% | +2.8 | n=10 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 57% | +7.8 | n=20 |
| in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons | 17-10 | 63%from 53% | +4.8 | n=27 |
| in a conference game + in November | 14-9 | 61%from 53% | +4.5 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-3 | 73%from 61% | +7.9 | n=11 |
| in a conference game + vs the Conference USA | 15-10 | 60%from 53% | +2.5 | n=25 |
| + in November | 7-3 | 70%from 60% | +2.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 70% | +2.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-10 | 60%from 60% | +2.5 | n=25 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 31-21 | 60%from 54% | +2.5 | n=52 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 19-13 | 59%from 49% | +4.2 | n=32 |
| vs a G5 opponent + in November | 16-11 | 59%from 54% | +2.3 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-4 | 67%from 59% | +3.3 | n=12 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the Conference USA | 19-14 | 58%from 52% | +0.5 | n=33 |
| + in November | 8-3 | 73%from 58% | +2.7 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 73% | +2.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-12 | 57%from 58% | +0.9 | n=28 |
| vs a G5 opponent + vs the Conference USA | 19-14 | 58%from 54% | +0.5 | n=33 |
| + in November | 8-3 | 73%from 58% | +2.7 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 73% | +2.8 | n=10 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 16-12 | 57%from 58% | +0.9 | n=28 |
| vs the Conference USA + in the last 5 seasons | 16-12 | 57%from 58% | +0.9 | n=28 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 33-25 | 57%from 52% | +2.6 | n=58 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in November | 18-14 | 56%from 52% | +4.3 | n=32 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 12-7 | 63%from 56% | +7.4 | n=19 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.