Middle Tennessee at Florida International—

ST Model Florida International -9.7

Trends · 2026 week 8

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Middle Tennessee — the basics

142 graded games since 2014

on the road	33-40	45%	-1.3	n=73
vs Florida International	6-6	50%	+3.3	n=12
in a conference game	44-46	49%	-0.4	n=90
vs an FBS opponent	64-70	48%	-1.2	n=134
vs a G5 opponent	59-57	51%	-0.4	n=116
vs the Conference USA	45-46	49%	-0.4	n=91
in October	23-19	55%	+0.4	n=42
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	0.0	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Middle Tennessee — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -3.8 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 142 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=142
Middle Tennessee has covered 2 straight	n=2

Middle Tennessee — combinations

36 lean Middle Tennessee · 80 lean against

Read this first. 146 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs Florida International + in October	4-2	67%from 50%	+7.4	n=6
in October + in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 55%	+0.3	n=16
in a conference game + in October	21-17	55%from 49%	+0.1	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 55%	-0.3	n=14
vs a G5 opponent + in October	21-17	55%from 51%	+0.1	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 55%	-0.3	n=14
vs the Conference USA + in October	21-17	55%from 49%	+0.1	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 55%	-0.3	n=14
vs an FBS opponent + in October	23-19	55%from 48%	+0.4	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 55%	+0.3	n=16
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	54-54	50%from 48%	-0.7	n=108
+ in October	21-17	55%from 50%	+0.1	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 55%	-0.3	n=14
+ vs the Conference USA	45-46	49%from 50%	-0.4	n=91
+ in October	21-17	55%from 49%	+0.1	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-23	41%from 49%	-1.4	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-26	45%from 50%	-0.7	n=47
on the road + in October	11-11	50%from 45%	+0.3	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=8
vs Florida International + in a conference game	6-6	50%from 50%	+3.3	n=12
+ in October	4-2	67%from 50%	+7.4	n=6
+ vs an FBS opponent	6-6	50%from 50%	+3.3	n=12
+ in October	4-2	67%from 50%	+7.4	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-6	50%from 50%	+3.3	n=12
+ vs the Conference USA	6-6	50%from 50%	+3.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+1.5	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	6-6	50%from 50%	+3.3	n=12
+ in October	4-2	67%from 50%	+7.4	n=6
+ vs the Conference USA	6-6	50%from 50%	+3.3	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+1.5	n=5
+ vs the Conference USA	6-6	50%from 50%	+3.3	n=12
+ in October	4-2	67%from 50%	+7.4	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+1.5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+1.5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Florida International — the basics

136 graded games since 2014

at home	30-36	45%	-1.4	n=66
vs Middle Tennessee	6-6	50%	-3.3	n=12
in a conference game	41-48	46%	-1.9	n=89
vs an FBS opponent	61-65	48%	-1.3	n=126
vs a G5 opponent	51-65	44%	-2.4	n=116
vs the Conference USA	41-48	46%	-1.9	n=89
in October	23-21	52%	+2.0	n=44
at this venue	9-3	75%	+3.1	n=12
in the last 5 seasons	29-32	48%	-3.3	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Florida International — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 136 graded games: -1.5 pts vs their number per game	n=136

Florida International — combinations

79 lean Florida International · 68 lean against

Read this first. 179 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	8-2	80%from 48%	+4.7	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 80%	+4.7	n=10
at home + vs Middle Tennessee	4-1	80%from 45%	+5.8	n=5
+ in a conference game	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs the Conference USA	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs an FBS opponent	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs the Conference USA	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs the Conference USA	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
+ vs the Conference USA	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.8	n=5
vs a G5 opponent + at this venue	9-3	75%from 44%	+3.1	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 75%	+3.1	n=12
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	9-3	75%from 75%	+3.1	n=12
in a conference game + at this venue	6-2	75%from 46%	-0.1	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	-0.1	n=8
vs the Conference USA + at this venue	6-2	75%from 46%	-0.1	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	-0.1	n=8
at home + at this venue	4-2	67%from 45%	-2.4	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	-2.4	n=6
vs Middle Tennessee + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	-1.5	n=5
in a conference game + in October	20-18	53%from 46%	+2.2	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 53%	-0.1	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.