Jacksonville State at Delaware—

ST Model Jacksonville State -2.1

Trends · 2026 week 13

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Jacksonville State — the basics

57 graded games since 2014

on the road	16-12	57%	+6.3	n=28
in a conference game	20-8	71%	+9.0	n=28
vs an FBS opponent	28-19	60%	+5.1	n=47
vs a G5 opponent	29-19	60%	+5.7	n=48
vs the Conference USA	18-10	64%	+6.7	n=28
in November	8-5	62%	+5.8	n=13
in the last 5 seasons	31-20	61%	+5.9	n=51

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Jacksonville State — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 57 graded games: +6.3 pts vs their number per game	n=57

Jacksonville State — combinations

55 lean Jacksonville State · 19 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 74% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent	20-8	71%from 71%	+9.0	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-8	71%from 71%	+9.0	n=28
+ vs the Conference USA	17-8	68%from 71%	+7.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ in November	5-5	50%from 68%	+2.9	n=10
+ in November	7-5	58%from 71%	+5.8	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	+5.8	n=12
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	20-8	71%from 71%	+9.0	n=28
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	17-8	68%from 71%	+7.4	n=25
+ vs a G5 opponent	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ vs the Conference USA	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ in November	5-5	50%from 68%	+2.9	n=10
+ vs the Conference USA	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ in November	5-5	50%from 68%	+2.9	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ in November	5-5	50%from 68%	+2.9	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 50%	+2.9	n=10
in a conference game + vs the Conference USA	17-8	68%from 71%	+7.4	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 68%	+7.4	n=25
+ in November	5-5	50%from 68%	+2.9	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 50%	+2.9	n=10
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Conference USA	18-10	64%from 60%	+6.7	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-10	63%from 64%	+6.2	n=27
+ in November	5-5	50%from 64%	+2.9	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 50%	+2.9	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Delaware — the basics

53 graded games since 2014

at home	12-12	50%	+1.3	n=24
in a conference game	16-16	50%	+0.6	n=32
vs an FBS opponent	10-10	50%	+0.2	n=20
vs a G5 opponent	21-22	49%	+1.1	n=43
vs the Conference USA	3-5	38%	-1.1	n=8
in November	6-10	38%	-2.4	n=16
at this venue	12-12	50%	+1.3	n=24
in the last 5 seasons	22-26	46%	+0.3	n=48

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Delaware — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 53 graded games: +0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=53
Delaware has covered 2 straight	n=2

Delaware — combinations

6 lean Delaware · 35 lean against

Read this first. 87 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + vs an FBS opponent	3-2	60%from 50%	+6.4	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.4	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.4	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.4	n=5
vs an FBS opponent + at this venue	3-2	60%from 50%	+6.4	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.4	n=5
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent	16-16	50%from 50%	+0.6	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-16	50%from 50%	+0.6	n=32
+ at this venue	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ in November	5-8	38%from 50%	-3.4	n=13
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 38%	-1.1	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-8	38%from 38%	-3.4	n=13
+ vs the Conference USA	3-5	38%from 50%	-1.1	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 38%	-1.1	n=8
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	16-16	50%from 50%	+0.6	n=32
at home + at this venue	12-12	50%from 50%	+1.3	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-12	50%from 50%	+1.3	n=24
at home + in the last 5 seasons	12-12	50%from 50%	+1.3	n=24
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	12-12	50%from 50%	+1.3	n=24
at home + in a conference game	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ vs a G5 opponent	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ at this venue	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ in November	4-4	50%from 50%	-1.1	n=8
+ at this venue	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 50%	-0.5	n=16
+ in November	4-4	50%from 50%	-1.1	n=8
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 50%	-1.1	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-1.1	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.