How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Western Kentucky — the basics
154 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 41-33 | 55% | +2.3 | n=74 |
| vs Middle Tennessee | 8-4 | 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| in a conference game | 58-40 | 59% | +3.0 | n=98 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 84-61 | 58% | +3.0 | n=145 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 75-54 | 58% | +2.9 | n=129 |
| vs the Conference USA | 58-40 | 59% | +3.0 | n=98 |
| in November | 27-19 | 59% | +5.5 | n=46 |
| at this venue | 3-3 | 50% | +3.8 | n=6 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 42-26 | 62% | +2.0 | n=68 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Western Kentucky — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +3.6 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 154 graded games: +2.5 pts vs their number per game | n=154 |
Western Kentucky — combinations
122 lean Western Kentucky · 5 lean against
Read this first. 188 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 11.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Middle Tennessee + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| vs Middle Tennessee + in a conference game | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +1.1 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +3.8 | n=6 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +1.1 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +3.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +1.1 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +3.8 | n=6 |
| + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +1.1 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +3.8 | n=6 |
| vs Middle Tennessee + vs an FBS opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +1.1 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +3.8 | n=6 |
| + vs the Conference USA | 8-4 | 67%from 67% | +6.0 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-0 | 100%from 67% | +11.7 | n=5 |
| + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +1.1 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +3.8 | n=6 |
| + in November | 3-2 | 60%from 67% | +1.1 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 3-3 | 50%from 67% | +3.8 | n=6 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.