Delaware at New Mexico State

ST Model Delaware -3.5
Trends · 2026 week 12
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Delaware — the basics
53 graded games since 2014
on the road13-1448%+0.3n=27
in a conference game16-1650%+0.6n=32
vs an FBS opponent10-1050%+0.2n=20
vs a G5 opponent21-2249%+1.1n=43
vs the Conference USA3-538%-1.1n=8
in November6-1038%-2.4n=16
in the last 5 seasons22-2646%+0.3n=48
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Delaware — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -0.9 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 53 graded games: +0.6 pts vs their number per gamen=53
Delaware has covered 2 straightn=2
Delaware — combinations
4 lean Delaware · 34 lean against
Read this first. 52 combinations shown. The best one here is 53%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 69% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + in a conference game8-753%from 48%+2.7n=15
+ vs a G5 opponent8-753%from 53%+2.7n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons8-753%from 53%+2.7n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons8-753%from 53%+2.7n=15
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent16-1650%from 50%+0.6n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons16-1650%from 50%+0.6n=32
+ in November5-838%from 50%-3.4n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons5-838%from 38%-3.4n=13
+ vs the Conference USA3-538%from 50%-1.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons3-538%from 38%-1.1n=8
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons16-1650%from 50%+0.6n=32
on the road + vs a G5 opponent9-950%from 48%+1.8n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons9-950%from 50%+1.8n=18
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent5-550%from 50%+1.9n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons5-550%from 50%+1.9n=10
+ vs the Conference USA3-538%from 50%-1.1n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons3-538%from 38%-1.1n=8
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons21-2249%from 49%+1.1n=43
on the road + vs an FBS opponent6-746%from 48%-1.6n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons2-625%from 46%-5.1n=8
on the road + in the last 5 seasons9-1341%from 48%-0.6n=22
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons6-940%from 50%-1.0n=15
vs a G5 opponent + in November6-940%from 49%-1.2n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons6-940%from 40%-1.2n=15
vs an FBS opponent + in November2-340%from 50%-5.7n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons2-340%from 40%-5.7n=5
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.