UL Monroe at South Alabama

ST Model South Alabama -12.5
Trends · 2026 week 5
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
UL Monroe — the basics
139 graded games since 2014
on the road32-4442%-2.7n=76
vs South Alabama4-640%-1.1n=10
in a conference game39-5342%-1.5n=92
vs an FBS opponent53-7342%-1.7n=126
vs a G5 opponent48-6244%-1.3n=110
vs the Sun Belt39-5342%-1.5n=92
in October16-3233%-5.7n=48
in the last 5 seasons26-3443%-0.4n=60
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
UL Monroe — form & streaks
Last 12 games: -8.1 pts vs their number per gamen=12
All 139 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per gamen=139
UL Monroe has covered 2 straightn=2
UL Monroe — combinations
6 lean UL Monroe · 131 lean against
Read this first. 146 combinations shown. The best one here is 52%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
CombinationRec%PtsSample
on the road + vs a G5 opponent25-2550%from 42%-0.7n=50
+ vs the Sun Belt22-2349%from 50%-0.9n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 49%-1.9n=20
+ in October7-1335%from 49%-4.8n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons10-1148%from 50%-1.3n=21
+ in October7-1532%from 50%-5.8n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons3-633%from 32%-5.9n=9
on the road + in a conference game22-2349%from 42%-0.9n=45
+ vs an FBS opponent22-2151%from 49%-0.4n=43
+ vs a G5 opponent22-2151%from 51%-0.4n=43
+ vs the Sun Belt22-2151%from 51%-0.4n=43
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 51%-1.9n=20
+ in October7-1139%from 51%-4.1n=18
+ vs a G5 opponent22-2349%from 49%-0.9n=45
+ vs the Sun Belt22-2349%from 49%-0.9n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 49%-1.9n=20
+ in October7-1335%from 49%-4.8n=20
+ vs the Sun Belt22-2349%from 49%-0.9n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 49%-1.9n=20
+ in October7-1335%from 49%-4.8n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 49%-1.9n=20
+ in October7-1335%from 49%-4.8n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons3-633%from 35%-5.9n=9
on the road + vs the Sun Belt22-2349%from 42%-0.9n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons9-1145%from 49%-1.9n=20
+ in October7-1335%from 49%-4.8n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons3-633%from 35%-5.9n=9
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.