Southern Miss at UL Monroe—

ST Model Southern Miss -11.1

Trends · 2026 week 9

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Southern Miss — the basics

146 graded games since 2014

on the road	34-34	50%	-0.2	n=68
vs UL Monroe	4-2	67%	+3.3	n=6
in a conference game	47-46	51%	-0.7	n=93
vs an FBS opponent	61-73	46%	-1.9	n=134
vs a G5 opponent	63-62	50%	-1.1	n=125
vs the Sun Belt	18-23	44%	-4.3	n=41
in October	20-21	49%	-2.3	n=41
in the last 5 seasons	27-34	44%	-2.9	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Southern Miss — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 146 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=146
Southern Miss has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

Southern Miss — combinations

47 lean Southern Miss · 50 lean against

Read this first. 106 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs UL Monroe + vs an FBS opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.3	n=6
+ vs a G5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.3	n=6
+ vs the Sun Belt	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.3	n=6
+ vs the Sun Belt	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.3	n=6
vs UL Monroe + vs a G5 opponent	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.3	n=6
+ vs the Sun Belt	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.3	n=6
vs UL Monroe + vs the Sun Belt	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.3	n=6
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	29-24	55%from 50%	+0.3	n=53
+ vs the Sun Belt	10-9	53%from 55%	-4.2	n=19
+ in October	4-3	57%from 53%	-4.6	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-9	44%from 53%	-6.3	n=16
+ in October	11-10	52%from 55%	-2.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 52%	-5.3	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-13	43%from 55%	-3.7	n=23
on the road + in a conference game	25-21	54%from 50%	+0.9	n=46
+ vs an FBS opponent	25-21	54%from 54%	+0.9	n=46
+ vs a G5 opponent	25-21	54%from 54%	+0.9	n=46
+ in October	11-10	52%from 54%	-2.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	7-8	47%from 54%	-5.2	n=15
+ vs a G5 opponent	25-21	54%from 54%	+0.9	n=46
+ in October	11-10	52%from 54%	-2.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	7-8	47%from 54%	-5.2	n=15
+ in October	11-10	52%from 54%	-2.8	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 52%	-5.3	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	7-8	47%from 54%	-5.2	n=15
+ in October	4-3	57%from 47%	-4.6	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 47%	-5.2	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

UL Monroe — the basics

139 graded games since 2014

at home	26-37	41%	-0.7	n=63
vs Southern Miss	2-4	33%	-3.3	n=6
in a conference game	39-53	42%	-1.5	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	53-73	42%	-1.7	n=126
vs a G5 opponent	48-62	44%	-1.3	n=110
vs the Sun Belt	39-53	42%	-1.5	n=92
in October	16-32	33%	-5.7	n=48
at this venue	26-37	41%	-0.7	n=63
in the last 5 seasons	26-34	43%	-0.4	n=60

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

UL Monroe — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -8.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 139 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=139
UL Monroe has covered 2 straight	n=2

UL Monroe — combinations

11 lean UL Monroe · 143 lean against

Read this first. 166 combinations shown. The best one here is 60%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 56% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
at home + in the last 5 seasons	14-14	50%from 41%	+3.4	n=28
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	14-14	50%from 41%	+3.4	n=28
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	22-25	47%from 44%	+0.4	n=47
at home + in October	9-11	45%from 41%	-1.7	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 45%	+2.4	n=10
+ at this venue	9-11	45%from 45%	-1.7	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 45%	+2.4	n=10
in October + at this venue	9-11	45%from 33%	-1.7	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 45%	+2.4	n=10
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	43-54	44%from 42%	-1.1	n=97
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-23	45%from 44%	+0.1	n=42
+ vs the Sun Belt	39-49	44%from 44%	-1.2	n=88
+ in October	15-20	43%from 44%	-3.8	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-23	43%from 44%	-1.1	n=40
+ at this venue	17-28	38%from 44%	-2.0	n=45
+ in October	15-23	39%from 44%	-4.4	n=38
+ at this venue	8-10	44%from 39%	-3.5	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 39%	-3.6	n=18
+ at this venue	18-31	37%from 44%	-1.9	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-12	43%from 37%	+1.4	n=21
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	39-49	44%from 42%	-1.2	n=88
+ vs a G5 opponent	39-49	44%from 44%	-1.2	n=88
+ vs the Sun Belt	39-49	44%from 44%	-1.2	n=88
+ in October	15-20	43%from 44%	-3.8	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-23	43%from 44%	-1.1	n=40
+ at this venue	17-28	38%from 44%	-2.0	n=45
+ vs the Sun Belt	39-49	44%from 44%	-1.2	n=88
+ in October	15-20	43%from 44%	-3.8	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-23	43%from 44%	-1.1	n=40
+ at this venue	17-28	38%from 44%	-2.0	n=45
+ in October	15-20	43%from 44%	-3.8	n=35
+ at this venue	8-9	47%from 43%	-3.5	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 43%	-3.6	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-23	43%from 44%	-1.1	n=40
+ at this venue	17-28	38%from 44%	-2.0	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-12	40%from 38%	-0.3	n=20

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.