How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Marshall — the basics
149 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 38-28 | 58% | +2.0 | n=66 |
| vs Old Dominion | 7-4 | 64% | +7.3 | n=11 |
| in a conference game | 45-50 | 47% | -0.7 | n=95 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 70-68 | 51% | -0.1 | n=138 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 67-68 | 50% | +0.1 | n=135 |
| vs the Sun Belt | 19-17 | 53% | +0.4 | n=36 |
| in October | 21-24 | 47% | +0.3 | n=45 |
| at this venue | 4-1 | 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 35-29 | 55% | +0.5 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Marshall — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.5 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 149 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=149 |
| Marshall has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Marshall — combinations
95 lean Marshall · 36 lean against
Read this first. 153 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + vs Old Dominion | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + in a conference game | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| on the road + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| vs Old Dominion + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 64% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| in a conference game + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 47% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| vs an FBS opponent + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 51% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| vs a G5 opponent + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 50% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| vs Old Dominion + in October | 5-2 | 71%from 64% | +12.4 | n=7 |
| vs Old Dominion + in a conference game | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +7.3 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 64% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + in October | 5-2 | 71%from 64% | +12.4 | n=7 |
| + vs an FBS opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +7.3 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 64% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + in October | 5-2 | 71%from 64% | +12.4 | n=7 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +7.3 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 64% | +7.0 | n=5 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +7.3 | n=11 |
| + at this venue | 4-1 | 80%from 64% | +8.9 | n=5 |
| + in October | 5-2 | 71%from 64% | +12.4 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 64% | +7.0 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-2 | 60%from 64% | +7.0 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.