Louisiana Tech at Troy—

ST Model Troy -2.4

Trends · 2026 week 10

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Louisiana Tech — the basics

145 graded games since 2014

on the road	37-35	51%	-0.4	n=72
in a conference game	46-46	50%	+0.2	n=92
vs an FBS opponent	72-63	53%	+1.3	n=135
vs a G5 opponent	60-59	50%	+0.8	n=119
vs the Sun Belt	4-4	50%	+3.9	n=8
in November	20-21	49%	-1.7	n=41
in the last 5 seasons	28-33	46%	-0.5	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Louisiana Tech — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 145 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=145

Louisiana Tech — combinations

2 lean Louisiana Tech · 32 lean against

Read this first. 60 combinations shown. The best one here is 53%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 67% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs an FBS opponent	37-35	51%from 51%	-0.4	n=72
+ vs a G5 opponent	23-27	46%from 51%	-1.4	n=50
+ in November	6-11	35%from 46%	-6.8	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-16	24%from 46%	-7.1	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-18	40%from 51%	-3.2	n=30
+ in November	7-13	35%from 51%	-7.3	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-8	27%from 35%	-6.4	n=11
vs an FBS opponent + vs a G5 opponent	55-54	50%from 53%	+1.1	n=109
+ in November	19-19	50%from 50%	-1.0	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 50%	-1.4	n=18
+ vs the Sun Belt	4-4	50%from 50%	+3.9	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-30	38%from 50%	-2.5	n=48
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	46-46	50%from 50%	+0.2	n=92
+ vs a G5 opponent	46-46	50%from 50%	+0.2	n=92
+ in November	19-19	50%from 50%	-1.0	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-24	40%from 50%	-2.6	n=40
+ in November	19-19	50%from 50%	-1.0	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 50%	-1.4	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-24	40%from 50%	-2.6	n=40
in a conference game + vs a G5 opponent	46-46	50%from 50%	+0.2	n=92
+ in November	19-19	50%from 50%	-1.0	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 50%	-1.4	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-24	40%from 50%	-2.6	n=40
in a conference game + in November	19-19	50%from 50%	-1.0	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 50%	-1.4	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Troy — the basics

145 graded games since 2014

at home	31-39	44%	-2.1	n=70
in a conference game	54-39	58%	+1.1	n=93
vs an FBS opponent	71-58	55%	+0.6	n=129
vs a G5 opponent	68-56	55%	+0.5	n=124
vs the Sun Belt	55-39	59%	+1.1	n=94
in November	23-20	53%	-1.3	n=43
at this venue	30-39	43%	-2.3	n=69
in the last 5 seasons	38-28	58%	+1.6	n=66

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Troy — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 145 graded games: +0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=145

Troy — combinations

132 lean Troy · 16 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 65%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 64% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
vs the Sun Belt + in the last 5 seasons	28-15	65%from 59%	+2.4	n=43
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 58%	+2.3	n=42
in November + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 53%	-0.8	n=20
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	34-23	60%from 55%	+1.9	n=57
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	36-25	59%from 55%	+1.7	n=61
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Sun Belt	53-37	59%from 55%	+1.2	n=90
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-15	65%from 59%	+2.4	n=43
+ in November	22-16	58%from 59%	-1.0	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 58%	-0.5	n=19
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 58%	-0.7	n=20
+ at this venue	24-20	55%from 59%	-0.1	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 55%	+1.8	n=22
vs a G5 opponent + vs the Sun Belt	55-39	59%from 55%	+1.1	n=94
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-15	65%from 59%	+2.4	n=43
+ in November	23-17	57%from 59%	-0.8	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 57%	-0.5	n=19
+ at this venue	12-9	57%from 57%	-1.4	n=21
+ at this venue	24-22	52%from 59%	-0.8	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 52%	+1.8	n=22
in a conference game + vs an FBS opponent	52-37	58%from 58%	+1.2	n=89
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 58%	+2.3	n=42
+ vs a G5 opponent	52-37	58%from 58%	+1.2	n=89
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 58%	+2.3	n=42
+ vs the Sun Belt	52-37	58%from 58%	+1.2	n=89
+ in November	22-16	58%from 58%	-1.0	n=38
+ at this venue	24-20	55%from 58%	-0.1	n=44
+ vs the Sun Belt	52-37	58%from 58%	+1.2	n=89
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-15	64%from 58%	+2.3	n=42
+ in November	22-16	58%from 58%	-1.0	n=38
+ at this venue	24-20	55%from 58%	-0.1	n=44
+ in November	22-16	58%from 58%	-1.0	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 58%	-0.5	n=19
+ at this venue	12-8	60%from 58%	-0.7	n=20
+ at this venue	24-20	55%from 58%	-0.1	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 55%	+1.8	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.