How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.
Marshall — the basics
149 graded games since 2014
| on the road | 38-28 | 58% | +2.0 | n=66 |
| in a conference game | 45-50 | 47% | -0.7 | n=95 |
| vs an FBS opponent | 70-68 | 51% | -0.1 | n=138 |
| vs a G5 opponent | 67-68 | 50% | +0.1 | n=135 |
| vs the Sun Belt | 19-17 | 53% | +0.4 | n=36 |
| in November | 22-23 | 49% | -0.8 | n=45 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 35-29 | 55% | +0.5 | n=64 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line
Marshall — form & streaks
| Last 12 games: +1.5 pts vs their number per game | n=12 |
| All 149 graded games: +0.1 pts vs their number per game | n=149 |
| Marshall has failed to cover 2 straight | n=2 |
Marshall — combinations
62 lean Marshall · 8 lean against
Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 70%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 61% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs the Sun Belt + in November | 10-6 | 63%from 53% | +1.3 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-6 | 63%from 63% | +1.3 | n=16 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 19-12 | 61%from 58% | +2.6 | n=31 |
| in November + in the last 5 seasons | 12-8 | 60%from 49% | -0.3 | n=20 |
| on the road + vs an FBS opponent | 38-28 | 58%from 58% | +2.0 | n=66 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 19-12 | 61%from 58% | +2.6 | n=31 |
| + vs a G5 opponent | 33-25 | 57%from 58% | +2.0 | n=58 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-11 | 58%from 57% | +1.9 | n=26 |
| + in November | 11-11 | 50%from 57% | -1.6 | n=22 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 9-9 | 50%from 57% | -1.0 | n=18 |
| + in November | 11-11 | 50%from 58% | -1.6 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 50% | +2.5 | n=10 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 9-9 | 50%from 58% | -1.0 | n=18 |
| + in November | 5-3 | 63%from 50% | +0.7 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-9 | 50%from 50% | -1.0 | n=18 |
| on the road + vs a G5 opponent | 33-25 | 57%from 58% | +2.0 | n=58 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 15-11 | 58%from 57% | +1.9 | n=26 |
| + in November | 11-11 | 50%from 57% | -1.6 | n=22 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 50% | +2.5 | n=10 |
| + vs the Sun Belt | 9-9 | 50%from 57% | -1.0 | n=18 |
| + in November | 5-3 | 63%from 50% | +0.7 | n=8 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-9 | 50%from 50% | -1.0 | n=18 |
| vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons | 32-26 | 55%from 51% | +0.5 | n=58 |
| vs an FBS opponent + vs the Sun Belt | 19-17 | 53%from 51% | +0.4 | n=36 |
| + in November | 10-6 | 63%from 53% | +1.3 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-6 | 63%from 63% | +1.3 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 18-17 | 51%from 53% | 0.0 | n=35 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.