Southern Miss at Old Dominion—

ST Model Old Dominion -11.6

Trends · 2026 week 13

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. FBS teams carry far less history than NFL ones (a median of 148 graded games vs ~435), so that baseline runs higher here — a perfect record is cheaper in college. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself.

Southern Miss — the basics

146 graded games since 2014

on the road	34-34	50%	-0.2	n=68
in a conference game	47-46	51%	-0.7	n=93
vs an FBS opponent	61-73	46%	-1.9	n=134
vs a G5 opponent	63-62	50%	-1.1	n=125
vs the Sun Belt	18-23	44%	-4.3	n=41
in November	23-23	50%	+0.1	n=46
in the last 5 seasons	27-34	44%	-2.9	n=61

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Southern Miss — form & streaks

Last 12 games: -1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 146 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=146
Southern Miss has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

Southern Miss — combinations

29 lean Southern Miss · 59 lean against

Read this first. 98 combinations shown. The best one here is 59%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 60% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
on the road + vs a G5 opponent	29-24	55%from 50%	+0.3	n=53
+ in November	13-9	59%from 55%	+4.9	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 59%	+2.4	n=9
+ vs the Sun Belt	10-9	53%from 55%	-4.2	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-9	44%from 53%	-6.3	n=16
+ in November	3-4	43%from 53%	-4.6	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-13	43%from 55%	-3.7	n=23
on the road + in a conference game	25-21	54%from 50%	+0.9	n=46
+ in November	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.9	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 59%	+2.4	n=9
+ vs an FBS opponent	25-21	54%from 54%	+0.9	n=46
+ in November	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.9	n=22
+ vs a G5 opponent	25-21	54%from 54%	+0.9	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	7-8	47%from 54%	-5.2	n=15
+ vs a G5 opponent	25-21	54%from 54%	+0.9	n=46
+ in November	13-9	59%from 54%	+4.9	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	7-8	47%from 54%	-5.2	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 54%	-2.1	n=19
+ vs the Sun Belt	7-8	47%from 54%	-5.2	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 47%	-5.2	n=15
+ in November	3-4	43%from 47%	-4.6	n=7
on the road + in November	13-11	54%from 50%	+4.1	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	+1.9	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Old Dominion — the basics

131 graded games since 2014

at home	28-36	44%	+0.2	n=64
in a conference game	43-43	50%	+0.7	n=86
vs an FBS opponent	62-61	50%	+0.8	n=123
vs a G5 opponent	53-55	49%	+0.6	n=108
vs the Sun Belt	17-16	52%	+1.1	n=33
in November	24-18	57%	+3.6	n=42
at this venue	28-36	44%	+0.2	n=64
in the last 5 seasons	35-27	56%	+4.2	n=62

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line

Old Dominion — form & streaks

Last 12 games: +4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=12
All 131 graded games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=131

Old Dominion — combinations

35 lean Old Dominion · 110 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 59%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 62% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Sample
in a conference game + in November	23-16	59%from 50%	+3.5	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 59%	+3.7	n=19
+ at this venue	10-11	48%from 59%	+2.5	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 48%	-0.6	n=10
vs a G5 opponent + in November	24-17	59%from 49%	+3.8	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 59%	+2.8	n=20
+ at this venue	11-11	50%from 59%	+3.8	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 50%	-0.6	n=10
in a conference game + in the last 5 seasons	23-17	57%from 50%	+3.8	n=40
vs an FBS opponent + in November	23-18	56%from 50%	+2.9	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 56%	+2.8	n=20
+ at this venue	10-11	48%from 56%	+2.5	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 48%	-0.6	n=10
vs an FBS opponent + in the last 5 seasons	33-27	55%from 50%	+3.6	n=60
in November + in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 57%	+2.8	n=20
vs a G5 opponent + in the last 5 seasons	28-23	55%from 49%	+3.9	n=51
in a conference game + vs the Sun Belt	17-15	53%from 50%	+2.4	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 53%	+2.4	n=32
+ in November	7-8	47%from 53%	+0.4	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 47%	+0.4	n=15
+ at this venue	1-7	13%from 47%	-5.0	n=8
+ at this venue	6-10	38%from 53%	+2.3	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 38%	+2.3	n=16
vs the Sun Belt + in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 52%	+2.4	n=32
vs an FBS opponent + vs the Sun Belt	17-16	52%from 50%	+1.1	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-15	53%from 52%	+2.4	n=32
+ in November	7-8	47%from 52%	+0.4	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 47%	+0.4	n=15
+ at this venue	1-7	13%from 47%	-5.0	n=8
+ at this venue	6-11	35%from 52%	-0.3	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 35%	+2.3	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or any guarantee of outcome. A trend describes the past; it does not predict. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.