DEN123
@147MIA
Final
Mon, Dec 29, 2025 · Kaseya Center
Model Projection
✗ WinnerModel picked DEN · 54%
| Projected vs Final | Proj | Final | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 120.9 | 123 | 2.1 |
| MIA | 119.5 | 147 | 27.5 |
| Margin | -1.4 | +24 | 25.4 |
| Total | 240.4 | 270 | 29.6 |
Margin & total from the home perspective (+ favors MIA). “Miss” = points off.
Denver Nuggets
123
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal MurrayG | 35 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | -13 |
| Spencer JonesF | 33 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-6 | 5-5 | 1-2 | -6 |
| Peyton WatsonG | 32 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | -9 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.G | 28 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | -18 |
| Nikola JokicC | 19 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | -1 |
| Bench | |||||||||||
| Bruce BrownG | 26 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -16 |
| Jonas ValanciunasC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -9 |
| Julian StrawtherG | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | -12 |
| Zeke NnajiF | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | -16 |
| DaRon Holmes IIF | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | -11 |
| Jalen PickettG | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Curtis JonesG | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Total | 232 | 121 | 35 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 46-86 | 11-29 | 18-22 | |
Miami Heat
147
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion MitchellG | 32 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | +17 |
| Andrew WigginsF | 31 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 3-4 | +28 |
| Norman PowellG | 28 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 4-4 | +7 |
| Kel'el WareC | 24 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | +4 |
| Bam AdebayoC | 21 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | +3 |
| Bench | |||||||||||
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 28 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 3-6 | +23 |
| Nikola JovicF | 26 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 3-3 | +24 |
| Dru SmithG | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | +24 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | +2 |
| Simone FontecchioF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | -3 |
| Keshad JohnsonF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Kasparas JakucionisG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Myron GardnerF | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Total | 238 | 147 | 46 | 40 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 53-99 | 22-46 | 19-23 | |