NBA 2026-27 Playoff Odds
Forward projected records & playoff odds — Monte-Carlo over a balanced schedule from current-roster player projections blended with last season's ratings. Updates as players are traded, drafted & signed.
Championship Favorites
Projected Playoff Bracket
favorite advances · series win %
Eastern Conference
top 8 make playoffs
| # | Team | PROJ | W | PLYF | CONF | CHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOSBoston Celtics | 49-33 | 4943–56 | 98% | 25% | 13% |
| 2 | PHIPhiladelphia 76ers | 48-34 | 4842–54 | 97% | 24% | 13% |
| 3 | CLECleveland Cavaliers | 46-37 | 4640–51 | 90% | 11% | 5% |
| 4 | NYKNew York Knicks | 45-37 | 4539–51 | 87% | 12% | 6% |
| 5 | ATLAtlanta Hawks | 45-37 | 4539–50 | 85% | 8% | 4% |
| 6 | MIAMiami Heat | 43-39 | 4338–49 | 77% | 7% | 3% |
| 7 | ORLOrlando Magic | 43-39 | 4338–49 | 77% | 7% | 4% |
| 8 | DETDetroit Pistons | 40-42 | 4034–47 | 53% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | CHACharlotte Hornets | 40-42 | 4034–47 | 52% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | TORToronto Raptors | 40-42 | 4034–46 | 49% | 3% | 1% |
| 11 | MILMilwaukee Bucks | 37-45 | 3731–43 | 25% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 | WASWashington Wizards | 34-49 | 3427–40 | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | INDIndiana Pacers | 30-52 | 3024–35 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | CHIChicago Bulls | 30-52 | 3024–35 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | BKNBrooklyn Nets | 25-57 | 2519–31 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Western Conference
top 8 make playoffs
| # | Team | PROJ | W | PLYF | CONF | CHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PORPortland Trail Blazers | 53-29 | 5347–59 | >99% | 33% | 17% |
| 2 | OKCOklahoma City Thunder | 52-30 | 5246–57 | 99% | 24% | 11% |
| 3 | SASSan Antonio Spurs | 49-33 | 4943–55 | 96% | 17% | 9% |
| 4 | HOUHouston Rockets | 48-34 | 4842–54 | 91% | 9% | 4% |
| 5 | DENDenver Nuggets | 47-35 | 4741–54 | 91% | 8% | 4% |
| 6 | LALLos Angeles Lakers | 45-37 | 4539–50 | 76% | 3% | 2% |
| 7 | NOPNew Orleans Pelicans | 44-39 | 4438–49 | 68% | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | UTAUtah Jazz | 42-41 | 4235–48 | 50% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | MINMinnesota Timberwolves | 41-41 | 4135–48 | 48% | 1% | 1% |
| 10 | PHXPhoenix Suns | 40-42 | 4034–46 | 33% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 | DALDallas Mavericks | 39-43 | 3933–44 | 22% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 | GSWGolden State Warriors | 37-45 | 3731–43 | 14% | <1% | 0% |
| 13 | LACLA Clippers | 35-47 | 3530–41 | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 | SACSacramento Kings | 34-49 | 3427–39 | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | MEMMemphis Grizzlies | 31-51 | 3125–38 | 2% | 0% | 0% |