NBA 2026-27 Playoff Odds
Forward projected records & playoff odds — Monte-Carlo over a balanced schedule from current-roster player projections blended with last season's ratings. Updates as players are traded, drafted & signed.
Championship Favorites
Projected Playoff Bracket
favorite advances · series win %
Eastern Conference
top 8 make playoffs
| # | Team | PROJ | W | PLYF | CONF | CHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYKNew York Knicks | 49-33 | 4943–55 | 98% | 25% | 14% |
| 2 | ATLAtlanta Hawks | 48-34 | 4842–54 | 96% | 14% | 6% |
| 3 | DETDetroit Pistons | 48-34 | 4842–54 | 95% | 16% | 8% |
| 4 | ORLOrlando Magic | 46-36 | 4640–52 | 91% | 14% | 7% |
| 5 | CLECleveland Cavaliers | 46-36 | 4640–52 | 90% | 11% | 4% |
| 6 | CHACharlotte Hornets | 46-37 | 4640–51 | 87% | 8% | 3% |
| 7 | PHIPhiladelphia 76ers | 44-38 | 4438–50 | 77% | 7% | 4% |
| 8 | MIAMiami Heat | 42-40 | 4236–48 | 65% | 3% | 2% |
| 9 | BOSBoston Celtics | 41-41 | 4135–47 | 51% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | TORToronto Raptors | 38-44 | 3832–44 | 26% | 1% | <1% |
| 11 | MILMilwaukee Bucks | 36-46 | 3630–42 | 14% | <1% | 0% |
| 12 | INDIndiana Pacers | 34-48 | 3429–40 | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | CHIChicago Bulls | 32-50 | 3226–38 | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | WASWashington Wizards | 29-53 | 2923–34 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | BKNBrooklyn Nets | 25-57 | 2519–31 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Western Conference
top 8 make playoffs
| # | Team | PROJ | W | PLYF | CONF | CHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SASSan Antonio Spurs | 57-25 | 5751–63 | >99% | 54% | 31% |
| 2 | HOUHouston Rockets | 52-30 | 5246–58 | 99% | 17% | 8% |
| 3 | LALLos Angeles Lakers | 48-34 | 4842–55 | 94% | 7% | 3% |
| 4 | OKCOklahoma City Thunder | 48-34 | 4842–54 | 94% | 9% | 4% |
| 5 | DENDenver Nuggets | 47-35 | 4741–54 | 90% | 4% | 2% |
| 6 | PORPortland Trail Blazers | 46-36 | 4640–52 | 89% | 5% | 2% |
| 7 | MINMinnesota Timberwolves | 44-39 | 4438–50 | 73% | 2% | 1% |
| 8 | PHXPhoenix Suns | 42-40 | 4235–48 | 56% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 | NOPNew Orleans Pelicans | 40-42 | 4034–47 | 43% | 1% | <1% |
| 10 | DALDallas Mavericks | 39-43 | 3933–44 | 28% | <1% | 0% |
| 11 | UTAUtah Jazz | 36-46 | 3631–42 | 14% | <1% | 0% |
| 12 | LACLA Clippers | 36-46 | 3630–42 | 11% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 | GSWGolden State Warriors | 34-48 | 3427–40 | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | SACSacramento Kings | 32-50 | 3226–39 | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | MEMMemphis Grizzlies | 25-57 | 2519–31 | 0% | 0% | 0% |