
Description
- Position
- QB
- Team
- NC State
- Class
- SO
- Jersey
- #11
- Height
- 6'6"
- Weight
- 210 lb
- Hometown
- Miami, FL
- Last active
- 2025
Recruiting
High School
- National Rank
- #432
- Stars
- ★★★★
- Rating
- 0.8933
- Class
- 2024
- Committed To
- NC State
- Hometown
- Hollywood, FL
Accolades
1
4-Star Recruit2024
2026 Projection
QB
Pass Yds
2421
2010–2906
Pass TD
18
12–24
INT
7
4–10
Pass Att
312
267–364
Completions
197
180–233
Rush Yds
220
0–549
Rush TD
4
1–8
Rush Att
82
57–121
Season Stats
Regular season
Game Log
Latest season
| Wk | Opp | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Yds | TD | INT | Y/A | QBR | Rtg | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Fum | Lost | FR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Carolina | 24 | 34 | 70.6 | 318 | 1 | 1 | 9.4 | — | 153 | 7 | 21 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1 | Memphis | 14 | 25 | 56 | 221 | 2 | 0 | 8.8 | — | 156.7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Virginia | 16 | 23 | 69.6 | 200 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 | — | 157 | 6 | 44 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Wake Forest | 23 | 32 | 71.9 | 201 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 | — | 155.6 | 8 | 19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Duke | 29 | 39 | 74.4 | 364 | 2 | 3 | 9.3 | — | 154.3 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | 26 | 34 | 76.5 | 240 | 2 | 0 | 7.1 | — | 155.2 | 9 | -19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Campbell | 20 | 23 | 87 | 337 | 4 | 0 | 14.7 | — | 267.4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 7 | Notre Dame | 17 | 30 | 56.7 | 186 | 1 | 3 | 6.2 | — | 99.7 | 9 | -14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 40 | 60 | 225 | 3 | 0 | 5.6 | — | 132 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Georgia Tech | 24 | 32 | 75 | 340 | 2 | 0 | 10.6 | — | 184.9 | 5 | 34 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 12 | Miami | 17 | 30 | 56.7 | 120 | 0 | 2 | 4 | — | 76.9 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Florida State | 18 | 25 | 72 | 152 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 | — | 149.5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 14 | North Carolina | 21 | 30 | 70 | 201 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 | — | 148.3 | 8 | 65 | 0 | — | — | — |
Stat Profile
2025 · vs 266 QBs
Pass Yds
288484
Rating
150.378
Y/A
7.868
Pass TD
2385
INT
918
PPA
0.3585
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Volume vs Efficiency
2025 · vs 266
dashed lines = position median · top-right = high volume + efficiency
Recruiting → Production
2025 · pedigree vs PPA
Met expectations+9 pct vs pedigree
Pedigree★★★★ 0.8933 · #432 nat'l
Production85th pct PPA · vs 266 peers
Pedigree = national recruiting standing (stars + composite rating). Production = opponent-adjusted PPA percentile vs same-position FBS peers that season.
Career Arc
Pass Yds by season
PPA Trend
opp-adjusted / play
— Overall— Pass— Rush
Career Highs
| Stat | Best Season | Career |
|---|---|---|
| Pass Yds | 2,884'25 | 5,066 |
| Pass TD | 23'25 | 37 |
| Rush Yds | 255'24 | 470 |
2025 · share of team
Overall
55%
Rush
14%
Pass
95%
1st Down
39%
2nd Down
67%
3rd Down
75%
Standard Downs
44%
Passing Downs
78%
Usage Trend
share of team by season
— Overall— Standard Downs— Passing Downs
Game Trend
2025 · Pass Yds
Pass Yds per game
Consistency
2025 · Pass Yds
| Per game | 240.3 |
| Ceiling (90th) | 339.7 |
| Floor (10th) | 155.4 |
| Std dev | 76.8 |
| Boom rate | 8% |
| Bust rate | 8% |
| Profile | Steady |
Boom ≥1.5× avg · Bust ≤0.5× avg · 12 games
PPA Profile
2025 · opp-adjusted / play
Overall
0.35
By play type
Pass
0.36
Rush
0.37
By down
1st Down
0.08
2nd Down
0.35
3rd Down
0.75
By down type
Standard Downs
0.25
Passing Downs
0.48
Points Per Attempt added vs the average play, adjusted for opponent strength. Right = above baseline, left = below.
News
1 items
- NC State's Doeren says QB Bailey could be best in countryFew quarterbacks in college football are better positioned for a breakthrough 2026 season than NC State's CJ Bailey.