MLB Terminal — projections, standings & analytics

Matt Svanson

P · STL

27 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: STL
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 1999-01-31
Age: 27
Country: USA
Height: 6'5"
Weight: 235 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

2 seasons

Seasons	2 2025–2026
Games	76
W-L	6-2
ERA	3.74
WHIP	1.17
IP	101
SO	108
SV	0

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
ERA	3.75	2.54–4.63	−0.03
WHIP	1.13	0.92–1.50	+0.03
SO	185	143–222	+3
BB	62	38–82	+2
HR	19	10–29	−1
Hits	129	115–166	+1
ER	71	48–87	−1

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	STL	2	2	6.42	1.60	37	1	0	40.2	40	19	5	29	5.63	7.1%
2025	STL	4	0	1.94	0.88	39	0	0	60.1	68	20	3	13	3.09	8.5%

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	37	1	40.2	2	1	0	0	1.000	0.66	—
2025	P	39	0	60.1	2	4	0	0	1.000	0.90	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-07-09	vs	MIL	L
2026-07-07	vs	MIL	L
2026-07-05	@	CHC	L
2026-07-02	@	ATL	W
2026-06-27	vs	MIA	L
2026-06-23	vs	AZ	L
2026-06-21	@	KC	W
2026-06-19	@	KC	L

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-07-18	@	AZ	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
2026-07-09	vs	MIL	L	ND	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	14
2026-07-07	vs	MIL	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	14
2026-07-05	@	CHC	L	BS	1.2	3	2	0	0	0	2	39
2026-07-02	@	ATL	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	16
2026-06-27	vs	MIA	L	ND	0.1	1	0	0	0	1	0	11
2026-06-23	vs	AZ	L	L	0.1	3	4	3	0	1	1	36
2026-06-21	@	KC	W	H	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	1	17
2026-06-19	@	KC	L	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	23
2026-06-17	vs	SD	L	ND	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	1	16
2026-06-13	@	MIN	W	W	1.2	0	0	0	0	0	2	15
2026-06-10	@	NYM	W	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	13
2026-06-09	@	NYM	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11
2026-05-23	@	CIN	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	14
2026-05-21	vs	PIT	L	ND	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	1	19
2026-05-20	vs	PIT	L	ND	0.2	5	4	4	0	0	1	27
2026-05-17	vs	KC	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	15
2026-05-14	@	ATH	W	W	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	13
2026-05-13	@	ATH	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	17
2026-05-09	@	SD	L	ND	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	1	16
2026-05-06	vs	MIL	L	ND	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	2	27
2026-05-01	vs	LAD	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	16
2026-04-30	@	PIT	W	ND	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	0	17
2026-04-28	@	PIT	W	ND	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	3	18
2026-04-26	vs	SEA	L	BS	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	1	16
2026-04-25	vs	SEA	L	ND	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	1	18
2026-04-22	@	MIA	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8
2026-04-20	@	MIA	L	ND	1.1	0	0	0	0	2	0	25
2026-04-18	@	HOU	W	ND	1.0	0	1	1	0	3	1	24
2026-04-14	vs	CLE	W	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	2	15
2026-04-11	vs	BOS	L	ND	1.0	6	5	5	0	1	1	43
2026-04-08	@	WSH	W	H	1.2	0	0	0	0	1	1	18
2026-04-06	@	WSH	L	L	0.2	3	3	3	2	0	1	13
2026-04-04	@	DET	L	ND	2.1	3	1	1	1	1	1	30
2026-03-30	vs	NYM	L	ND	2.0	1	0	0	0	2	3	36
2026-03-28	vs	TB	W	ND	0.2	2	3	3	0	1	0	20
2026-03-26	vs	TB	W	ND	0.1	3	3	3	0	0	0	16

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 260

K/9

8.957

BB/9

4.216

HR/9

1.145

ERA

6.423

WHIP

1.605

xERA

5.635

Brl%A

7.1%56

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	4	2025
SO	68	2025
SV	0	2026
ERA	1.94	2025
WHIP	0.88	2025

Comparable Players

2026 · stat-profile similarity

Alex LangeKC30y
6.30 ERA · 39 K · 1.53 WHIP
88%
vs
Jake BirdNYY30y
5.93 ERA · 31 K · 1.55 WHIP
86%
vs
Juan MejiaCOL26y
5.52 ERA · 45 K · 1.57 WHIP
86%
vs
Taylor RogersMIN35y
5.56 ERA · 30 K · 1.62 WHIP
85%
vs
Paxton SchultzWSH28y
5.87 ERA · 31 K · 1.63 WHIP
83%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
25	STL	4	1.94	0.88	68	60
26	STL	2▼	6.42▲	1.60▲	40▼	41▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins6

44 to 50

Strikeouts108

892 to 1,000

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
Sinker	47%	96.8	2263
Sweeper	35%	87.2	2262
Cutter	16%	92.2	2282
4-Seam	1%	96.5	2257

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

22.5%

Chase

lg 28.5%

63.3%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

21.2%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

78.8%

Contact

lg 76%

52.8%

Zone

lg 48.5%

29.0%

CSW

lg 28%

965 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	2.2
Ceiling (90th)	6.3
Floor (10th)	-5.9
Std dev	4.8
Boom rate	46%
Bust rate	27%
Profile	Volatile