NBA Projections · FT%

2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-game

76% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

StatPoints Rebounds Assists Steals Blocks 3PM Turnovers FG%FT%

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2023-24 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG%	FT% ↓	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Stephen Curry	G	GSW	26.4	5.1	6.0	1.0	0.3	4.5	3.1	.461	.921	.886–.922	.923	+.002
2	Kyrie Irving	G	DAL	26.5	4.6	5.4	1.1	0.7	3.1	2.2	.483	.914	.878–.915	.905	−.009
3	Damian Lillard	G	POR	27.0	4.3	6.8	0.8	0.3	4.3	3.0	.441	.912	.859–.912	.920	+.008
4	Kevin Durant	F	HOU	27.7	6.6	5.3	0.7	1.2	2.1	3.2	.541	.899	.842–.941	.856	−.043
5	Khris Middleton	F	WAS	15.5	5.0	4.6	0.8	0.2	2.0	2.1	.439	.891	.860–.915	.833	−.058
6	Danilo Gallinari	PF	TOT	9.7	4.0	1.3	0.4	0.1	1.5	0.6	.422	.889	.859–.915	.857	−.032
7	Trae Young	G	WAS	26.9	3.5	9.3	1.0	0.2	2.6	4.2	.448	.889	.872–.909	.855	−.034
8	Fred VanVleet	G	HOU	18.1	4.3	6.7	1.7	0.5	3.1	2.0	.402	.887	.858–.897	.860	−.027
9	Anfernee Simons	G	PHI	20.0	2.8	3.8	0.7	0.2	2.9	1.9	.437	.887	.861–.898	.916	+.029
10	Jordan Poole	G	NOP	20.0	3.0	4.5	0.8	0.3	2.7	2.8	.437	.887	.846–.915	.877	−.010
11	Desmond Bane	G	ORL	19.6	4.5	3.8	1.0	0.3	2.8	1.9	.469	.886	.852–.905	.870	−.016
12	Seth Curry	G	GSW	9.9	2.3	2.1	0.6	0.1	1.7	1.0	.462	.885	.747–.934	.903	+.018
13	Kawhi Leonard	F	LAC	24.0	6.5	4.0	1.3	0.5	2.0	1.7	.511	.885	.853–.903	.885	+.000
14	Georges Niang	F	TOT	7.9	2.4	1.2	0.4	0.1	2.0	0.7	.432	.880	.762–.929	.850	−.030
15	Bojan Bogdanovic	SF	TOT	18.6	3.8	2.2	0.5	0.1	2.4	1.9	.460	.880	.849–.893	.785	−.095
16	Grayson Allen	G	CHA	10.2	3.3	2.0	0.8	0.2	2.2	0.9	.441	.877	.793–.909	.878	+.001
17	Tyler Herro	G	MIL	21.3	5.4	4.6	0.7	0.2	2.9	2.5	.442	.876	.837–.915	.856	−.020
18	Paul George	F	BOS	24.0	6.1	5.1	1.4	0.4	2.7	3.1	.446	.876	.826–.891	.907	+.031
19	James Harden	G	CLE	20.7	6.2	9.4	1.1	0.5	2.6	3.4	.430	.875	.848–.897	.878	+.003
20	Klay Thompson	G	DAL	19.6	3.9	2.4	0.7	0.4	3.9	1.5	.437	.875	.832–.900	.927	+.052
21	Darius Garland	G	LAC	22.2	3.1	7.6	1.2	0.1	2.5	3.1	.465	.872	.843–.907	.834	−.038
22	Josh Richardson	SG	TOT	9.1	2.7	2.3	0.9	0.3	1.6	1.1	.428	.872	.780–.921	.944	+.072
23	DeMar DeRozan	G	SAC	24.4	4.7	5.0	1.0	0.4	0.7	2.0	.505	.871	.850–.912	.853	−.018
24	Lauri Markkanen	F	UTA	22.9	7.6	1.8	0.7	0.5	2.6	1.7	.478	.869	.853–.908	.899	+.030
25	Tobias Harris	F	SAS	15.0	5.9	2.8	0.8	0.6	1.7	1.3	.484	.868	.814–.904	.878	+.010
26	Malcolm Brogdon	G	TOT	14.5	4.3	3.9	0.7	0.3	2.0	1.6	.463	.865	.797–.904	.819	−.046
27	Coby White	G	CHA	11.6	3.2	3.2	0.7	0.2	2.0	1.3	.438	.865	.809–.921	.838	−.027
28	Jayson Tatum	F	BOS	28.0	8.4	4.9	1.1	0.7	3.3	2.9	.463	.864	.840–.878	.833	−.031
29	Devin Booker	G	PHX	26.8	4.5	5.5	1.0	0.3	2.3	2.8	.476	.863	.839–.892	.886	+.023
30	Derrick White	G	BOS	12.6	3.5	3.9	0.7	0.8	1.9	1.2	.440	.862	.774–.927	.901	+.039
31	Luke Kennard	G	PHX	9.9	3.2	1.8	0.5	0.1	2.1	0.8	.458	.862	.772–.995	.889	+.027
32	Mikal Bridges	G	NYK	19.1	4.4	3.1	1.0	0.6	2.1	1.3	.477	.862	.780–.899	.814	−.048
33	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	G	OKC	27.1	5.0	5.7	1.4	0.8	1.1	2.8	.488	.862	.851–.880	.874	+.012
34	Cole Anthony	G	TOT	13.8	4.7	4.4	0.7	0.4	1.3	1.8	.425	.861	.807–.918	.826	−.035
35	Brandon Ingram	F	TOR	24.8	5.4	5.7	0.7	0.5	1.6	3.1	.477	.861	.815–.890	.801	−.060
36	Tyrese Maxey	G	PHI	20.2	3.0	3.7	0.8	0.3	2.2	1.3	.477	.860	.827–.900	.868	+.008
37	Donovan Mitchell	G	CLE	27.4	4.4	4.9	1.3	0.3	3.4	2.8	.461	.860	.852–.890	.865	+.005
38	Kristaps Porzingis	C	GSW	21.2	8.0	2.5	0.8	1.4	2.1	1.9	.479	.859	.815–.896	.858	−.001
39	Kyle Lowry	G	PHI	10.1	4.1	5.1	0.9	0.3	2.0	1.8	.420	.859	.785–.888	.840	−.019
40	Tyrese Haliburton	G	IND	20.2	3.5	8.7	1.6	0.5	2.7	2.6	.479	.859	.838–.900	.855	−.004
41	Jimmy Butler III	F	GSW	21.2	5.6	5.1	1.7	0.3	0.5	1.7	.506	.858	.796–.912	.858	+.000
42	Chris Paul	G	TOT	12.3	4.1	8.4	1.4	0.3	1.3	1.8	.450	.856	.766–.916	.827	−.029
43	Trey Murphy III	F	NOP	14.4	3.6	1.4	0.9	0.4	2.3	0.8	.464	.856	.856–.947	.815	−.041
44	AJ Griffin	F	TOT	9.7	2.3	1.4	0.6	0.2	1.4	0.8	.461	.855	.760–.931	1.000	+.145
45	Dennis Schroder	G	CLE	12.8	2.8	4.4	0.8	0.1	1.2	1.7	.424	.855	.776–.894	.836	−.019
46	Jamal Murray	G	DEN	20.2	4.0	5.9	1.1	0.3	2.6	2.2	.460	.853	.798–.899	.853	+.000
47	Bradley Beal	G	TOT	23.6	4.1	5.4	0.9	0.5	1.6	3.0	.484	.853	.773–.896	.813	−.040
48	Immanuel Quickley	G	TOR	15.1	3.8	3.5	0.8	0.1	2.2	1.3	.433	.853	.798–.898	.853	+.000
49	Derrick Rose	PG	TOT	7.3	1.6	2.3	0.6	0.3	0.8	1.0	.447	.852	.654–1.011	.889	+.037
50	Bogdan Bogdanovic	G	HOU	13.5	3.3	2.7	0.8	0.3	2.5	1.1	.431	.851	.744–.899	.921	+.070
51	Malik Monk	G	SAC	14.4	3.0	3.5	0.7	0.3	2.0	1.8	.451	.851	.812–.917	.829	−.022
52	Franz Wagner	F	ORL	19.7	4.5	3.6	1.0	0.3	1.7	2.2	.478	.851	.819–.888	.850	−.001
53	LaMelo Ball	G	MIN	22.0	6.2	7.4	1.4	0.4	3.2	3.3	.426	.850	.808–.876	.865	+.015
54	Gabe Vincent	G	ATL	9.3	2.2	2.4	0.8	0.1	1.6	1.2	.411	.850	.776–.905	.500	−.350
55	Davis Bertans	SF	TOT	5.7	1.8	0.6	0.3	0.2	1.4	0.3	.396	.850	.688–1.023	.909	+.059
56	Kevin Love	F	UTA	8.8	6.1	1.7	0.3	0.2	1.7	1.0	.417	.849	.773–.923	.787	−.062
57	Cam Reddish	SF	TOT	9.3	2.4	1.3	0.9	0.3	1.2	1.1	.422	.849	.786–.909	.759	−.090
58	Landry Shamet	G	NYK	9.3	2.0	2.0	0.6	0.1	1.9	0.8	.401	.849	.778–.911	.826	−.023
59	Zach LaVine	G	SAC	25.2	4.7	4.5	0.9	0.3	2.7	2.6	.479	.849	.819–.887	.854	+.005
60	Corey Kispert	F	ATL	11.2	3.2	1.4	0.5	0.2	1.9	0.9	.478	.849	.763–.906	.726	−.123
61	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	G	MEM	10.4	3.0	2.2	1.1	0.4	1.9	1.1	.442	.847	.780–.895	.894	+.047
62	Saddiq Bey	G	NOP	14.6	5.1	1.9	0.9	0.2	2.3	1.1	.424	.847	.760–.896	.837	−.010
63	Cade Cunningham	G	DET	19.5	5.7	5.7	1.0	0.6	1.8	3.4	.426	.847	.732–.900	.869	+.022
64	Jared Rhoden	G	TOT	3.8	2.6	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.6	0.4	.417	.846	.508–1.009	.625	−.221
65	Cameron Johnson	F	DEN	13.8	4.2	1.7	0.9	0.3	2.3	0.9	.455	.846	.782–.893	.789	−.057
66	Gary Harris	G	DET	9.3	2.2	1.4	0.8	0.2	1.9	0.7	.427	.845	.783–.947	.756	−.089
67	Austin Reaves	G	LAL	12.9	3.3	3.0	0.6	0.3	1.3	1.3	.497	.845	.767–.915	.853	+.008
68	Bones Hyland	G	MIN	12.6	2.7	3.0	0.7	0.3	2.0	1.3	.409	.844	.752–.909	.783	−.061
69	AJ Green	G	MIL	6.3	2.0	0.8	0.3	0.1	1.2	0.4	.414	.844	.572–1.064	.895	+.051
70	Joel Embiid	C	PHI	29.4	10.6	4.1	1.0	1.4	1.1	3.3	.520	.844	.794–.872	.883	+.039
71	Dru Smith	G	MIA	5.0	2.2	1.8	0.5	0.2	0.6	0.4	.424	.843	.473–1.005	1.000	+.157
72	Nikola Jovic	F	MIA	7.7	2.8	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.9	0.8	.431	.843	.406–1.034	.702	−.141
73	Buddy Hield	G	ATL	15.9	4.7	2.9	1.0	0.3	3.6	1.7	.427	.843	.808–.907	.881	+.038
74	Jordan Clarkson	G	NYK	19.6	3.9	3.6	0.6	0.2	2.7	2.3	.432	.843	.760–.901	.881	+.038
75	Cam Thomas	G	TOT	10.7	2.1	1.5	0.5	0.1	1.0	1.1	.437	.843	.745–.917	.856	+.013
76	Reggie Jackson	PG	TOT	9.5	2.3	3.2	0.6	0.1	1.5	1.5	.410	.842	.775–.930	.806	−.036
77	Terry Rozier	G	TOT	19.2	4.1	4.6	1.2	0.3	2.6	1.8	.435	.842	.773–.861	.869	+.027
78	Karl-Anthony Towns	C	NYK	23.0	8.7	4.5	0.8	0.8	2.2	2.9	.510	.841	.797–.888	.873	+.032
79	Gary Trent Jr.	G	MIL	17.6	2.9	1.7	1.5	0.2	2.8	1.0	.434	.839	.800–.887	.771	−.068
80	Tre Jones	G	CHI	12.7	3.0	5.3	1.1	0.1	0.7	1.3	.474	.839	.786–.900	.856	+.017
81	Monte Morris	PG	TOT	9.8	3.2	4.6	0.7	0.2	1.3	0.9	.477	.838	.738–.890	.684	−.154
82	Jerami Grant	F	MEM	19.8	4.4	2.3	0.7	0.8	2.2	1.7	.444	.837	.775–.887	.817	−.020
83	Isaiah Joe	G	DET	8.2	2.3	1.2	0.6	0.1	2.0	0.6	.412	.837	.748–.897	.865	+.028
84	Garrison Mathews	G	TOT	5.9	1.5	0.7	0.5	0.2	1.3	0.5	.408	.835	.639–.988	.810	−.025
85	Buddy Boeheim	F	TOT	3.5	1.3	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.6	0.3	.376	.835	.319–1.011	.800	−.035
86	Harrison Barnes	F	SAS	14.6	5.1	1.9	0.7	0.2	1.7	1.1	.468	.834	.747–.894	.801	−.033
87	Payton Pritchard	G	BOS	7.3	2.4	1.8	0.4	0.1	1.3	0.9	.427	.833	.521–1.019	.821	−.012
88	Norman Powell	G	CHI	16.1	3.1	1.7	0.8	0.3	2.2	1.5	.470	.833	.758–.888	.831	−.002
89	Jalen Brunson	G	NYK	21.8	3.8	5.7	0.8	0.1	1.7	1.9	.496	.832	.775–.874	.847	+.015
90	Shake Milton	SG	TOT	9.1	2.5	3.2	0.5	0.2	0.9	1.2	.447	.832	.731–.934	.816	−.016
91	Patty Mills	PG	TOT	6.8	1.3	1.5	0.4	0.1	1.4	0.7	.402	.831	.521–1.006	1.000	+.169
92	Aaron Nesmith	G	IND	8.3	3.2	1.1	0.6	0.3	1.6	0.9	.427	.831	.761–.908	.781	−.050
93	Alec Burks	SG	TOT	11.3	3.7	2.2	0.7	0.2	1.8	1.0	.416	.830	.753–.897	.868	+.038
94	Tyus Jones	G	DEN	9.9	2.7	4.7	0.9	0.1	1.4	0.9	.437	.830	.741–.903	.800	−.030
95	Bennedict Mathurin	G	LAC	18.4	4.3	1.8	0.7	0.2	1.5	2.1	.435	.829	.776–.869	.821	−.008
96	Malaki Branham	G	TOT	11.3	2.8	2.3	0.6	0.2	1.2	1.3	.435	.829	.731–.906	.873	+.044
97	Moritz Wagner	F	BKN	10.1	4.2	1.5	0.6	0.3	1.1	1.1	.477	.829	.711–.894	.814	−.015
98	Mike Muscala	C	TOT	6.2	3.3	0.7	0.3	0.4	1.1	0.4	.448	.828	.679–.929	.680	−.148
99	Nikola Jokic	C	DEN	24.9	12.0	8.9	1.2	0.7	1.0	3.4	.580	.828	.747–.876	.817	−.011
100	Cameron Payne	PG	TOT	8.8	2.2	4.0	0.6	0.2	1.2	1.4	.424	.826	.717–.910	.866	+.040