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NBA Projections · Turnovers

2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-game
84% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model
StatPointsReboundsAssistsStealsBlocks3PMTurnoversFG%FT%
Season2026-272025-262024-252023-24
Projected leaders · Top 100
2023-24 · actual vs p50
#PlayerPosTmPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMTOV ↓FG%FT%RangeActualΔ
1Trae YoungGWAS26.93.59.31.00.22.64.2.448.889
2.9–4.8
4.4+0.2
2Luka DoncicGLAL29.39.38.21.20.62.83.9.480.741
2.9–4.4
4.0+0.2
3Russell WestbrookGSAC15.66.17.10.90.41.13.5.430.678
2.2–4.1
2.1−1.4
4Nikola JokicCDEN24.912.08.91.20.71.03.4.580.828
2.8–3.9
3.0−0.4
5Giannis AntetokounmpoFMIA29.111.35.50.90.90.93.4.548.686
2.9–4.1
3.4+0.0
6James HardenGCLE20.76.29.41.10.52.63.4.430.875
2.4–3.9
2.6−0.8
7Cade CunninghamGDET19.55.75.71.00.61.83.4.426.847
2.3–3.7
3.4+0.0
8Ja MorantGPOR25.55.57.81.00.31.63.3.481.757
2.7–3.8
3.0−0.3
9LaMelo BallGMIN22.06.27.41.40.43.23.3.426.850
2.6–3.7
3.8+0.5
10Joel EmbiidCPHI29.410.64.11.01.41.13.3.520.844
2.7–3.9
3.8+0.6
11Kevin DurantFHOU27.76.65.30.71.22.13.2.541.899
2.6–3.4
3.3+0.0
12Anthony EdwardsGMIN24.55.74.81.50.73.03.2.449.773
2.3–3.5
3.1−0.2
13Stephen CurryGGSW26.45.16.01.00.34.53.1.461.921
2.5–3.4
2.8−0.3
14Paul GeorgeFBOS24.06.15.11.40.42.73.1.446.876
2.6–3.5
2.1−1.0
15LeBron JamesFPHI26.48.06.50.90.62.33.1.504.746
2.3–3.4
3.5+0.3
16Jaden IveyGTOT17.13.45.50.80.31.53.1.429.769
2.3–3.6
2.5−0.6
17Brandon IngramFTOR24.85.45.70.70.51.63.1.477.861
2.1–3.5
2.5−0.5
18Darius GarlandGLAC22.23.17.61.20.12.53.1.465.872
2.6–3.5
3.1+0.0
19Damian LillardGPOR27.04.36.80.80.34.33.0.441.912
2.5–3.4
2.6−0.4
20Zion WilliamsonFNOP26.36.94.41.00.60.33.0.589.714
2.1–3.6
2.8−0.3
21Josh GiddeyGCHI17.77.96.30.80.41.23.0.475.725
2.0–3.3
2.1−0.9
22Bradley BealGTOT23.64.15.40.90.51.63.0.484.853
2.5–3.2
2.5−0.5
23Julius RandleFBKN22.910.14.70.70.32.72.9.439.765
2.6–3.5
3.5+0.5
24Jayson TatumFBOS28.08.44.91.10.73.32.9.463.864
2.5–3.4
2.5−0.4
25Domantas SabonisFSAC19.212.26.60.90.40.52.9.572.747
2.4–3.5
3.3+0.4
26Karl-Anthony TownsCNYK23.08.74.50.80.82.22.9.510.841
2.1–3.2
2.9−0.0
27Paolo BancheroFORL21.66.84.10.80.61.22.9.441.746
2.0–3.3
3.1+0.2
28Donovan MitchellGCLE27.44.44.91.30.33.42.8.461.860
2.3–3.1
2.8−0.0
29Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGOKC27.15.05.71.40.81.12.8.488.862
2.4–3.4
2.2−0.7
30Jaylen BrownGPHI25.76.63.61.10.42.62.8.480.750
2.3–3.1
2.4−0.5
31Devin BookerGPHX26.84.55.51.00.32.32.8.476.863
2.1–3.2
2.6−0.2
32Jalen GreenGPHX22.73.83.80.80.32.62.8.433.794
1.8–3.0
2.3−0.4
33Jordan PooleGNOP20.03.04.50.80.32.72.8.437.887
1.8–3.2
2.4−0.3
34De'Aaron FoxGSAS25.44.26.21.10.41.62.8.493.758
2.0–3.1
2.6−0.1
35Zach LaVineGSAC25.24.74.50.90.32.72.6.479.849
2.1–3.0
2.1−0.5
36Kyle KuzmaFMIL19.17.73.60.60.62.42.6.451.739
1.9–3.0
2.7+0.1
37D'Angelo RussellGMEM18.13.26.41.00.42.82.6.439.819
1.9–3.1
2.1−0.5
38Jrue HolidayGPOR17.74.66.71.20.42.12.6.474.801
1.9–3.0
1.8−0.8
39Alperen SengunCHOU15.78.53.90.90.90.42.6.526.712
1.6–3.2
2.6−0.0
40Tyrese HaliburtonGIND20.23.58.71.60.52.72.6.479.859
1.8–3.1
2.3−0.3
41Bam AdebayoCMIA20.59.23.61.10.80.22.5.539.789
1.9–3.1
2.3−0.3
42Draymond GreenFGSW7.46.86.61.00.70.52.5.510.714
1.8–3.2
2.5−0.1
43Tyler HerroGMIL21.35.44.60.70.22.92.5.442.876
1.8–2.9
2.2−0.3
44Jordan ClarksonGNYK19.63.93.60.60.22.72.3.432.843
1.6–2.8
2.7+0.3
45Pascal SiakamFIND22.78.05.41.00.51.32.3.478.768
1.8–2.9
1.8−0.5
46RJ BarrettFTOR20.65.33.00.60.31.92.3.435.734
1.6–2.7
2.2−0.1
47Markelle FultzGTOT13.53.65.51.20.40.52.2.503.799
1.4–2.9
1.2−1.1
48Franz WagnerFORL19.74.53.61.00.31.72.2.478.851
1.4–2.8
1.9−0.3
49Jamal MurrayGDEN20.24.05.91.10.32.62.2.460.853
1.5–2.7
2.1−0.1
50Kyrie IrvingGDAL26.54.65.41.10.73.12.2.483.914
1.7–2.7
1.8−0.3
51Ben SimmonsPGTOT7.85.95.51.20.50.02.2.580.566
1.5–3.2
1.8−0.4
52Dejounte MurrayGNOP20.66.36.41.50.31.72.2.464.802
1.6–2.6
2.6+0.4
53Khris MiddletonFWAS15.55.04.60.80.22.02.1.439.891
1.3–3.1
2.3+0.2
54Bennedict MathurinGLAC18.44.31.80.70.21.52.1.435.829
1.3–2.7
1.6−0.5
55Scottie BarnesFTOR17.26.74.91.10.71.02.1.474.757
1.4–2.8
2.8+0.7
56Evan MobleyCCLE17.89.02.90.81.50.52.1.527.688
1.5–2.7
1.8−0.3
57Killian HayesGSAC10.13.05.41.20.41.22.1.392.802
1.2–3.0
1.2−0.9
58CJ McCollumGATL20.64.35.30.90.42.62.1.448.756
1.5–2.4
1.7−0.4
59Collin SextonGLAL17.33.03.20.80.11.22.1.483.805
1.3–3.0
2.1+0.0
60Jusuf NurkicCUTA13.18.82.60.80.70.62.1.513.682
1.4–2.8
2.3+0.2
61DeMar DeRozanGSAC24.44.75.01.00.40.72.0.505.871
1.5–2.4
1.7−0.3
62Marcus SmartGHOU11.03.35.41.50.31.92.0.416.790
1.3–2.7
3.1+1.1
63Jalen SuggsGORL10.83.43.51.10.41.22.0.416.766
1.0–3.0
1.8−0.2
64Anthony DavisFWAS25.011.22.81.01.70.52.0.538.760
1.6–2.6
2.1+0.1
65Fred VanVleetGHOU18.14.36.71.70.53.12.0.402.887
1.5–2.6
1.7−0.3
66Bojan BogdanovicSFTOT18.63.82.20.50.12.41.9.460.880
1.3–2.3
1.8−0.2
67Anfernee SimonsGPHI20.02.83.80.70.22.91.9.437.887
1.3–2.5
2.7+0.8
68Jalen BrunsonGNYK21.83.85.70.80.11.71.9.496.832
1.4–2.4
2.4+0.5
69Kelly OlynykFSAS11.55.93.20.80.51.31.9.477.823
1.2–2.6
1.9+0.1
70Kristaps PorzingisCGSW21.28.02.50.81.42.11.9.479.859
1.3–2.5
1.6−0.3
71Brandon WilliamsGDAL12.03.03.10.80.41.31.9.395.739
1.3–3.1
0.4−1.5
72Miles BridgesFPHX19.56.63.50.80.72.11.9.481.826
1.3–2.4
2.0+0.1
73Desmond BaneGORL19.64.53.81.00.32.81.9.469.886
1.3–2.4
2.7+0.8
74Jonas ValanciunasCDEN14.710.01.80.30.60.51.9.544.815
1.2–2.7
1.4−0.5
75Kyle LowryGPHI10.14.15.10.90.32.01.8.420.859
1.0–2.4
1.4−0.4
76Wendell Carter Jr.CORL15.28.92.40.60.61.21.8.514.727
1.2–2.6
1.2−0.6
77Keldon JohnsonFSAS20.95.62.80.80.22.01.8.465.753
1.2–2.4
1.4−0.4
78Cole AnthonyGTOT13.84.74.40.70.41.31.8.425.861
1.2–2.7
1.6−0.3
79OG AnunobyFNYK16.75.12.11.60.62.31.8.466.803
1.4–2.4
1.6−0.2
80Zach CollinsFCHI11.66.32.70.60.70.91.8.510.772
1.1–2.7
1.9+0.1
81Terry RozierGTOT19.24.14.61.20.32.61.8.435.842
1.3–2.2
1.7−0.1
82Chris PaulGTOT12.34.18.41.40.31.31.8.450.856
1.1–2.3
1.3−0.5
83Malik MonkGSAC14.43.03.50.70.32.01.8.451.851
1.0–2.5
2.1+0.3
84Jeremy SochanFNYK12.95.72.80.70.50.81.7.444.726
1.1–2.5
1.9+0.1
85Christian WoodFTOT16.07.21.90.70.91.61.7.502.710
1.3–2.5
1.0−0.7
86Kawhi LeonardFLAC24.06.54.01.30.52.01.7.511.885
1.3–2.3
1.8+0.0
87Talen Horton-TuckerSFTOT10.53.13.40.80.40.81.7.435.785
0.9–2.6
1.3−0.4
88Jerami GrantFMEM19.84.42.30.70.82.21.7.444.837
1.4–2.3
2.1+0.4
89Dennis SchroderGCLE12.82.84.40.80.11.21.7.424.855
1.1–2.5
1.9+0.2
90Nikola VucevicCORL17.69.93.30.80.71.61.7.486.801
1.2–2.2
1.6−0.1
91Jaren Jackson Jr.FUTA18.56.71.21.02.51.71.7.460.807
1.0–2.5
2.4+0.7
92Gordon HaywardSFTOT13.84.23.70.80.31.21.7.472.819
1.2–2.4
1.3−0.4
93Deandre AytonCWAS17.710.41.70.60.80.21.7.597.760
1.2–2.4
1.8+0.1
94Lauri MarkkanenFUTA22.97.61.80.70.52.61.7.478.869
1.2–2.1
1.4−0.3
95Buddy HieldGATL15.94.72.91.00.33.61.7.427.843
1.3–2.5
1.2−0.4
96Jimmy Butler IIIFGSW21.25.65.11.70.30.51.7.506.858
1.2–2.0
1.7+0.0
97Spencer DinwiddiePGTOT15.03.45.60.70.32.01.6.429.798
1.2–2.2
1.2−0.5
98Jalen WilliamsGOKC15.74.73.51.20.51.11.6.509.812
1.2–2.4
1.7+0.1
99Andrew NembhardGIND10.43.04.50.90.21.41.6.437.795
0.9–2.5
1.5−0.1
100T.J. McConnellGIND8.43.14.91.00.20.41.6.526.792
1.0–2.3
1.5−0.1