NBA Projections · FT%

2025-26 (model vs actual) · per-game

75% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

StatPoints Rebounds Assists Steals Blocks 3PM Turnovers FG%FT%

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2025-26 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	3PM	TOV	FG%	FT% ↓	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Stephen Curry	G	GSW	24.3	4.4	5.6	1.0	0.4	4.5	2.8	.434	.914	.884–.951	.923	+.009
2	Anfernee Simons	G	PHI	19.2	2.9	4.8	0.7	0.1	3.1	2.1	.431	.889	.889–.902	.896	+.007
3	Klay Thompson	G	DAL	13.9	3.2	1.9	0.6	0.4	3.1	1.2	.414	.884	.862–.913	.766	−.118
4	Tyler Herro	G	MIL	23.0	5.2	5.5	0.9	0.2	3.2	2.5	.452	.880	.847–.902	.917	+.037
5	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	G	OKC	29.0	5.3	6.2	1.7	1.0	1.8	2.5	.523	.880	.822–.919	.879	−.001
6	Lauri Markkanen	F	UTA	20.6	6.2	1.6	0.7	0.4	2.9	1.4	.456	.880	.833–.903	.896	+.016
7	Sam Merrill	G	CLE	6.8	2.1	1.5	0.6	0.1	2.0	0.4	.408	.879	.822–.988	.855	−.024
8	Desmond Bane	G	ORL	20.1	5.4	5.1	1.1	0.4	2.6	2.4	.473	.878	.822–.899	.908	+.030
9	Devin Booker	G	PHX	25.6	4.2	6.9	0.9	0.3	2.3	2.7	.470	.878	.835–.903	.873	−.005
10	Luke Kennard	G	PHX	9.0	2.9	2.9	0.6	0.1	1.9	1.0	.468	.876	.791–.946	.913	+.037
11	Duncan Robinson	F	DET	10.0	2.3	2.1	0.5	0.1	2.4	1.0	.426	.875	.802–.934	.755	−.120
12	Trey Murphy III	F	NOP	19.0	4.8	3.2	1.0	0.6	3.0	1.6	.448	.875	.816–.897	.886	+.011
13	Jordan Poole	G	NOP	19.9	3.0	4.5	1.1	0.3	3.3	2.8	.426	.875	.837–.902	.860	−.015
14	Tyrese Maxey	G	PHI	25.0	3.4	5.9	1.3	0.4	3.1	2.1	.453	.875	.837–.897	.892	+.017
15	Coby White	G	CHA	19.1	3.8	4.5	0.8	0.2	2.8	2.2	.445	.874	.834–.899	.817	−.057
16	Trae Young	G	WAS	24.6	3.0	10.2	1.1	0.2	2.9	4.0	.423	.873	.840–.899	.825	−.048
17	Cam Thomas	G	TOT	21.9	3.1	3.3	0.6	0.2	2.3	2.1	.441	.872	.824–.900	.811	−.061
18	Austin Reaves	G	LAL	18.8	4.3	5.5	0.9	0.3	2.5	2.3	.471	.869	.831–.896	.871	+.002
19	Nick Smith Jr.	G	LAL	9.1	2.2	2.4	0.4	0.1	1.8	1.2	.419	.869	.802–.944	.733	−.136
20	Brice Sensabaugh	F	UTA	11.5	3.4	1.8	0.7	0.2	2.2	1.6	.439	.869	.796–.933	.826	−.043
21	Bogdan Bogdanovic	G	HOU	11.0	3.0	2.5	0.8	0.2	2.3	1.2	.428	.868	.837–.948	.800	−.068
22	James Harden	G	CLE	19.5	5.3	8.6	1.2	0.6	2.8	3.3	.419	.867	.844–.905	.884	+.017
23	Jrue Holiday	G	POR	10.8	4.4	4.2	0.9	0.5	1.7	1.4	.460	.866	.801–.919	.838	−.028
24	Keaton Wallace	G	ATL	6.1	2.0	2.2	0.7	0.2	1.0	1.0	.409	.863	.650–.941	.667	−.196
25	Kevin Durant	F	HOU	25.8	6.0	4.2	0.8	1.1	2.3	3.0	.518	.862	.798–.922	.874	+.012
26	Malik Monk	G	SAC	16.3	3.4	5.3	0.8	0.5	2.1	2.2	.438	.862	.809–.884	.878	+.016
27	Joel Embiid	C	PHI	26.2	8.3	4.2	0.9	1.3	1.3	3.0	.498	.861	.824–.914	.854	−.007
28	Gradey Dick	G	TOR	14.3	3.4	1.7	0.8	0.1	2.0	1.4	.423	.860	.802–.899	.875	+.015
29	Tobias Harris	F	SAS	13.8	5.5	2.3	1.0	0.6	1.4	1.1	.471	.859	.821–.897	.866	+.007
30	Derrick White	G	BOS	14.5	4.3	4.4	0.9	1.0	3.0	1.5	.445	.859	.811–.900	.902	+.043
31	Darius Garland	G	LAC	21.0	3.0	6.9	1.2	0.1	2.8	2.7	.462	.858	.826–.902	.861	+.003
32	Franz Wagner	F	ORL	22.9	5.5	4.8	1.1	0.3	1.8	2.3	.472	.858	.830–.884	.823	−.035
33	Jamal Murray	G	DEN	20.9	3.9	6.1	1.1	0.4	2.4	2.1	.465	.857	.824–.907	.887	+.030
34	Sam Hauser	F	BOS	8.4	3.3	1.0	0.5	0.2	2.2	0.4	.435	.856	.704–.998	.850	−.006
35	Ty Jerome	G	MEM	12.2	2.2	3.7	0.8	0.1	1.6	1.2	.499	.856	.700–.923	.875	+.019
36	Seth Curry	G	GSW	5.8	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	1.1	0.5	.447	.855	.707–.970	.917	+.062
37	Karl-Anthony Towns	C	NYK	22.5	10.8	3.3	0.8	0.6	2.2	2.7	.508	.855	.784–.880	.858	+.003
38	Grayson Allen	G	CHA	9.8	3.2	2.2	0.8	0.3	2.2	1.1	.452	.854	.720–.923	.857	+.003
39	Paul George	F	BOS	16.8	5.1	3.5	1.3	0.4	2.4	2.2	.450	.854	.785–.901	.820	−.034
40	DeMar DeRozan	G	SAC	21.4	4.0	4.6	0.9	0.5	1.1	1.5	.474	.853	.828–.892	.868	+.015
41	Collin Sexton	G	LAL	18.1	3.0	4.3	0.8	0.2	1.8	2.3	.476	.853	.801–.894	.855	+.002
42	Cameron Johnson	F	DEN	16.5	4.3	2.8	0.9	0.3	2.6	1.4	.461	.853	.812–.909	.839	−.014
43	Brandon Miller	F	CHA	21.0	4.6	3.2	1.0	0.6	3.2	2.2	.424	.852	.808–.880	.892	+.040
44	LaMelo Ball	G	MIN	26.4	5.3	7.1	1.3	0.2	3.4	3.2	.419	.852	.777–.889	.899	+.047
45	Ben Sheppard	G	IND	6.3	2.9	1.3	0.6	0.2	1.2	0.4	.418	.851	.725–.964	.765	−.086
46	Cam Spencer	G	MEM	5.4	1.9	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.9	0.4	.413	.851	.620–1.012	.940	+.089
47	Jamison Battle	F	TOR	7.8	3.1	1.1	0.5	0.2	1.8	0.6	.428	.851	.711–.959	.643	−.208
48	Chris Paul	G	TOT	7.3	3.3	6.3	1.1	0.2	1.3	1.3	.422	.851	.763–.935	.500	−.351
49	Kawhi Leonard	F	LAC	21.5	5.8	3.2	1.4	0.6	2.0	1.7	.508	.850	.781–.900	.892	+.042
50	Aaron Holiday	G	HOU	6.3	1.7	1.6	0.4	0.1	1.3	0.6	.445	.850	.536–.980	.854	+.004
51	Saddiq Bey	G	NOP	13.4	6.1	1.7	0.9	0.2	2.0	1.0	.424	.849	.781–.897	.841	−.008
52	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	G	MEM	9.2	2.5	1.8	1.2	0.4	1.6	0.9	.448	.849	.782–.919	.912	+.063
53	Mike Conley	G	BOS	8.3	2.5	4.2	1.0	0.2	1.6	1.0	.412	.849	.799–.940	.900	+.051
54	Cameron Payne	PG	TOT	6.8	1.8	2.8	0.5	0.1	1.3	0.8	.420	.848	.758–.933	.864	+.016
55	Cade Cunningham	G	DET	24.9	5.4	8.6	1.0	0.6	2.0	3.8	.466	.848	.821–.899	.812	−.036
56	Cole Anthony	G	TOT	10.0	3.6	3.1	0.7	0.4	1.2	1.4	.433	.846	.746–.900	.615	−.231
57	De'Andre Hunter	F	SAC	15.8	3.9	1.6	0.7	0.2	2.2	1.3	.455	.846	.756–.899	.867	+.021
58	Jared McCain	G	OKC	15.5	2.8	2.8	0.7	0.1	1.9	1.6	.446	.846	.659–.948	.864	+.018
59	Amir Coffey	G	PHX	8.5	2.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	1.3	0.5	.452	.846	.773–.932	.786	−.060
60	Miles Bridges	F	PHX	20.7	7.2	4.0	0.8	0.6	2.3	2.0	.446	.846	.795–.888	.822	−.024
61	Donovan Mitchell	G	CLE	25.1	4.7	5.1	1.3	0.3	3.4	2.2	.455	.845	.777–.899	.865	+.020
62	Mikal Bridges	G	NYK	17.4	3.6	3.6	0.9	0.5	2.4	1.6	.469	.844	.787–.890	.827	−.017
63	Jimmy Butler III	F	GSW	17.2	4.9	4.8	1.3	0.3	0.6	1.3	.502	.844	.779–.897	.864	+.020
64	Zach LaVine	G	SAC	21.6	4.6	4.1	0.8	0.2	2.8	2.5	.489	.844	.794–.880	.880	+.036
65	Johnny Juzang	G	TOT	8.6	3.1	1.2	0.6	0.1	1.7	0.7	.427	.843	.672–.929	.625	−.218
66	Julian Champagnie	F	SAS	9.3	3.8	1.4	0.7	0.4	2.0	0.9	.420	.843	.790–.928	.844	+.001
67	Al Horford	C	GSW	7.9	5.6	1.9	0.5	0.8	1.7	0.6	.452	.842	.757–.923	.846	+.004
68	Dennis Schroder	G	CLE	12.6	2.8	4.9	0.7	0.2	1.6	1.7	.415	.842	.765–.905	.834	−.008
69	Jayson Tatum	F	BOS	27.3	8.4	5.7	1.1	0.6	3.4	2.8	.463	.842	.776–.894	.823	−.019
70	Immanuel Quickley	G	TOR	15.8	3.6	4.9	0.8	0.1	2.4	1.4	.430	.842	.810–.889	.821	−.021
71	Khris Middleton	F	WAS	11.1	3.5	3.6	0.7	0.2	1.3	1.5	.464	.841	.797–.943	.875	+.034
72	Marcus Sasser	G	DAL	7.7	2.0	2.6	0.7	0.1	1.3	1.0	.446	.841	.581–.996	.833	−.008
73	RayJ Dennis	G	ATL	5.8	2.0	2.0	0.6	0.3	0.8	0.6	.405	.841	.482–.925	.889	+.048
74	Garrison Mathews	G	TOT	6.5	2.1	0.9	0.5	0.2	1.5	0.4	.408	.841	.634–.903	.826	−.015
75	Tyus Jones	G	DEN	10.4	2.6	5.1	0.9	0.2	2.0	1.1	.451	.840	.780–.908	.778	−.062
76	Keyonte George	G	UTA	16.2	3.7	5.3	0.7	0.1	2.5	2.6	.406	.838	.770–.881	.892	+.054
77	Tristan da Silva	F	ORL	7.9	3.5	1.6	0.5	0.2	1.3	0.8	.419	.838	.762–.929	.884	+.046
78	Bones Hyland	G	MIN	8.1	1.9	2.1	0.7	0.2	1.5	1.1	.401	.835	.637–1.028	.780	−.055
79	Max Christie	G	DAL	8.6	3.2	1.7	0.7	0.3	1.4	1.0	.434	.835	.767–.887	.899	+.064
80	Anthony Edwards	G	MIN	27.9	6.0	5.0	1.2	0.7	3.5	3.1	.457	.834	.796–.883	.796	−.038
81	Jalen Brunson	G	NYK	26.1	3.4	6.9	0.9	0.2	2.3	2.3	.476	.834	.773–.881	.841	+.007
82	Kristaps Porzingis	C	GSW	18.1	6.5	2.0	0.7	1.4	2.1	1.4	.494	.834	.759–.897	.842	+.008
83	Josh Minott	F	BKN	4.1	1.8	0.7	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.4	.479	.832	.573–.944	.787	−.045
84	Jordan Hawkins	G	NOP	9.6	2.9	1.2	0.5	0.3	1.8	0.9	.389	.831	.697–.928	.852	+.021
85	D'Angelo Russell	G	MEM	14.4	3.1	5.0	0.9	0.4	2.3	1.8	.424	.831	.739–.904	.717	−.114
86	AJ Green	G	MIL	7.0	2.1	1.2	0.5	0.1	1.9	0.5	.434	.831	.669–.932	.855	+.024
87	Payton Pritchard	G	BOS	12.3	3.8	3.4	0.7	0.1	2.7	1.1	.451	.831	.775–.889	.890	+.059
88	Jaylen Wells	F	MEM	11.7	3.8	1.9	0.6	0.1	2.0	1.0	.429	.831	.745–.868	.784	−.047
89	Aaron Nesmith	G	IND	11.8	3.9	1.4	0.8	0.5	1.9	0.9	.473	.830	.780–.934	.829	−.001
90	Keegan Murray	F	SAC	13.6	6.2	1.7	0.9	0.7	2.4	0.9	.451	.830	.752–.886	.776	−.054
91	Bennedict Mathurin	G	LAC	17.2	5.1	2.0	0.7	0.3	1.5	1.9	.450	.829	.765–.881	.869	+.040
92	Isaiah Joe	G	DET	10.3	2.8	1.5	0.6	0.2	2.4	0.7	.438	.829	.714–.920	.894	+.065
93	Brandon Ingram	F	TOR	21.5	5.1	5.4	0.8	0.5	1.9	3.0	.484	.829	.784–.900	.820	−.009
94	Ziaire Williams	F	LAL	9.6	4.0	1.3	0.8	0.3	1.7	1.1	.419	.829	.712–.899	.850	+.021
95	Norman Powell	G	CHI	18.0	2.8	1.8	0.9	0.2	2.5	1.5	.471	.828	.735–.879	.827	−.001
96	Bub Carrington	G	WAS	11.0	4.4	4.4	0.7	0.3	1.8	1.8	.422	.828	.717–.866	.730	−.098
97	Caleb Houstan	G	ATL	5.8	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.1	1.3	0.4	.416	.828	.619–.973	1.000	+.172
98	Jalen Wilson	F	ATL	8.4	3.5	1.6	0.5	0.1	1.6	0.9	.416	.827	.722–.899	.719	−.108
99	Malaki Branham	G	TOT	8.0	2.3	1.5	0.4	0.1	1.0	1.0	.436	.827	.516–.974	.824	−.003
100	Harrison Barnes	F	SAS	11.9	3.6	1.7	0.5	0.2	1.9	0.7	.481	.826	.741–.893	.829	+.003