MIA at SFSF -10.5o/u 46.5

ST Model SF -7(-3.5 vs market)

Since first recorded SF -10.5o/u 46.5unchanged · 51d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-104	50%	-0.3	0/210	n=210
vs SF	3-4	43%	+3.2	0/7	n=7
as an underdog	121-121	50%	+0.2	0/242	n=242
spread 10-13.5	18-14	56%	+3.5	0/32	n=32
in the Sunday late window	42-29	59%	+1.4	0/71	n=71
in September	41-46	47%	-1.6	0/87	n=87
outdoors	188-191	50%	-0.3	0/379	n=379
on grass	148-156	49%	-0.1	0/304	n=304
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

44 lean MIA · 59 lean against

Read this first. 135 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 59%	+0.1	0/11	n=11
on the road + in the Sunday late window	31-18	63%from 50%	+2.3	0/49	n=49
+ on grass	18-12	60%from 63%	+2.9	0/30	n=30
+ outdoors	22-17	56%from 63%	+1.6	0/39	n=39
+ on grass	15-11	58%from 56%	+3.4	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 56%	-5.8	0/6	n=6
+ in September	6-5	55%from 63%	-2.0	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	3-3	50%from 55%	-3.3	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-4	43%from 55%	-2.1	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 63%	-3.6	0/8	n=8
as an underdog + spread 10-13.5	14-9	61%from 50%	+5.4	0/23	n=23
+ outdoors	13-8	62%from 61%	+5.5	0/21	n=21
+ on grass	8-7	53%from 62%	+5.3	0/15	n=15
+ in the Sunday late window	4-3	57%from 61%	+3.1	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 57%	+1.1	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	8-8	50%from 61%	+4.5	0/16	n=16
as an underdog + in the Sunday late window	29-20	59%from 50%	+2.1	0/49	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 59%	-1.5	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	17-14	55%from 59%	+2.6	0/31	n=31
+ outdoors	20-19	51%from 59%	+1.4	0/39	n=39
+ on grass	14-13	52%from 51%	+3.1	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 51%	-2.8	0/7	n=7
+ in September	6-6	50%from 59%	-2.9	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	3-4	43%from 50%	-4.6	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	3-5	38%from 50%	-3.4	0/8	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	106-111	49%	+0.6	79/217	n=217
vs MIA	4-3	57%	-3.2	3/7	n=7
as a favorite	115-111	51%	+1.4	104/226	n=226
spread 10-13.5	23-26	47%	-1.2	18/49	n=49
off a bye	20-32	38%	-1.6	23/52	n=52
in the Sunday late window	106-110	49%	-0.2	78/216	n=216
in September	42-41	51%	-0.5	30/83	n=83
outdoors	174-181	49%	-0.1	130/355	n=355
on grass	158-166	49%	+0.2	123/324	n=324
at this venue	45-55	45%	-0.3	76/100	n=100
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

170 lean SF · 232 lean against

Read this first. 463 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 10-13.5 + in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 47%	+3.2	9/9	n=9
at home + spread 10-13.5	12-8	60%from 49%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 60%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ outdoors	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 60%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 60%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 60%	-0.9	7/10	n=10
+ on grass	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 60%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 60%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 60%	-0.9	7/10	n=10
+ in the Sunday late window	10-7	59%from 60%	+0.6	4/17	n=17
+ outdoors	10-7	59%from 59%	+0.6	4/17	n=17
+ on grass	10-7	59%from 59%	+0.6	4/17	n=17
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 59%	-2.5	4/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 60%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 57%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 60%	-0.9	7/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 50%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 50%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
at home + vs MIA	3-2	60%from 49%	-1.8	2/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday late window	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	2/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	2/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	2/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	2/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.