NO at BALBAL -7.5o/u 46.5

ST Model BAL -9.5(+2 vs market)

Since first recorded BAL -7.5o/u 46.5unchanged · 51d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-94	56%	+1.7	9/216	n=216
vs BAL	2-4	33%	-4.7	0/6	n=6
as an underdog	95-83	53%	+0.8	13/178	n=178
spread 7-9.5	38-37	51%	+0.7	2/75	n=75
in the Sunday early window	134-124	52%	+0.6	12/258	n=258
in September	39-48	45%	-0.9	4/87	n=87
outdoors	96-67	59%	+2.7	7/163	n=163
on grass	77-57	57%	+1.6	5/134	n=134
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

125 lean NO · 25 lean against

Read this first. 162 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	4-1	80%from 57%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 80%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
outdoors + under this head coach	5-2	71%from 59%	+1.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 71%	+1.1	7/7	n=7
as an underdog + spread 7-9.5	12-6	67%from 53%	+2.6	2/18	n=18
+ in the Sunday early window	7-1	88%from 67%	+6.9	1/8	n=8
+ outdoors	6-1	86%from 88%	+6.9	1/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 88%	+4.6	1/6	n=6
+ on grass	7-2	78%from 67%	+4.7	1/9	n=9
+ outdoors	9-3	75%from 67%	+6.0	2/12	n=12
+ on grass	7-2	78%from 75%	+4.7	1/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 67%	-6.3	2/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 52%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
on the road + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 56%	0.0	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	0.0	9/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + outdoors	58-34	63%from 52%	+3.6	6/92	n=92
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 63%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-8	64%from 63%	+3.8	6/22	n=22
+ on grass	45-30	60%from 63%	+1.7	5/75	n=75
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 60%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 60%	+0.7	5/16	n=16
on the road + in the Sunday early window	76-47	62%from 56%	+3.2	7/123	n=123
+ under this head coach	6-1	86%from 62%	+4.8	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 86%	+4.8	7/7	n=7
+ outdoors	56-32	64%from 62%	+3.8	6/88	n=88
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 64%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-8	62%from 64%	+4.0	6/21	n=21
+ on grass	44-28	61%from 64%	+1.9	5/72	n=72
+ on grass	44-29	60%from 62%	+1.7	5/73	n=73
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 60%	+5.5	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 60%	+0.7	5/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-12	59%from 62%	+3.1	7/29	n=29
+ in September	15-13	54%from 62%	+1.3	1/28	n=28
+ outdoors	11-9	55%from 54%	+1.4	1/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 54%	+1.8	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-9	40%from 54%	-1.0	0/15	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

at home	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
vs NO	4-2	67%	+4.7	0/6	n=6
as a favorite	148-139	52%	+2.5	0/287	n=287
spread 7-9.5	41-46	47%	+0.6	0/87	n=87
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in September	45-40	53%	+2.1	0/85	n=85
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
at this venue	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

76 lean BAL · 135 lean against

Read this first. 248 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 78% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + in September	25-17	60%from 51%	+5.0	0/42	n=42
+ outdoors	25-17	60%from 60%	+5.0	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	25-17	60%from 60%	+5.0	0/42	n=42
+ on grass	11-8	58%from 60%	+2.8	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 60%	+0.4	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	25-17	60%from 60%	+5.0	0/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 60%	+0.4	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	11-8	58%from 60%	+2.8	0/19	n=19
+ at this venue	11-8	58%from 58%	+2.8	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 58%	-0.5	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 60%	+0.4	0/8	n=8
in September + at this venue	25-17	60%from 53%	+5.0	0/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 60%	+0.4	0/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window + in September	30-21	59%from 53%	+3.5	0/51	n=51
+ at this venue	19-10	66%from 59%	+5.5	0/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 66%	-2.3	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	30-20	60%from 59%	+3.6	0/50	n=50
+ at this venue	19-10	66%from 60%	+5.5	0/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 60%	+1.5	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	13-12	52%from 60%	+0.7	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 59%	+0.7	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	13-12	52%from 59%	+0.7	0/25	n=25
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 52%	+2.6	0/14	n=14
as a favorite + in the Sunday early window	99-84	54%from 52%	+3.5	0/183	n=183
+ in September	25-17	60%from 54%	+3.5	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	18-9	67%from 60%	+6.4	0/27	n=27
+ outdoors	25-16	61%from 60%	+3.7	0/41	n=41
+ on grass	11-10	52%from 60%	+0.4	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 60%	0.0	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	66-54	55%from 54%	+4.7	0/120	n=120
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-13	41%from 55%	+2.8	0/22	n=22
+ outdoors	98-82	54%from 54%	+3.7	0/180	n=180
+ at this venue	66-54	55%from 54%	+4.7	0/120	n=120
+ on grass	52-52	50%from 54%	+2.8	0/104	n=104
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-19	46%from 54%	+2.4	0/35	n=35
+ on grass	52-53	50%from 54%	+2.6	0/105	n=105
+ at this venue	31-31	50%from 50%	+3.4	0/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-18	33%from 50%	+1.6	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-20	46%from 54%	+2.3	0/37	n=37

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.