PIT at NENE -4.5o/u 43.5

ST Model NE -3(-1.5 vs market)

Since first recorded NE -4.5o/u 43.5unchanged · 51d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-102	53%	+0.5	0/217	n=217
vs NE	6-12	33%	-4.6	0/18	n=18
as an underdog	96-55	64%	+2.3	0/151	n=151
spread 3.5-6.5	89-75	54%	+1.2	0/164	n=164
in the Sunday early window	127-95	57%	+1.7	0/222	n=222
in September	38-47	45%	-1.2	0/85	n=85
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on turf	88-72	55%	+0.7	0/160	n=160
at this venue	3-5	38%	-6.9	0/8	n=8
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

107 lean PIT · 59 lean against

Read this first. 199 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as an underdog + in the Sunday early window	46-17	73%from 64%	+3.9	0/63	n=63
+ outdoors	43-17	72%from 73%	+3.6	0/60	n=60
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 72%	+1.9	0/20	n=20
+ on turf	12-8	60%from 72%	+0.3	0/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-6	71%from 73%	+2.4	0/21	n=21
+ on turf	15-8	65%from 73%	+1.6	0/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 65%	-3.6	0/7	n=7
+ in September	8-6	57%from 73%	-2.4	0/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 57%	+4.0	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	5-4	56%from 57%	-3.1	0/9	n=9
+ outdoors	6-6	50%from 57%	-4.4	0/12	n=12
as an underdog + spread 3.5-6.5	32-18	64%from 64%	+2.2	0/50	n=50
+ in the Sunday early window	13-6	68%from 64%	+3.0	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 68%	+5.9	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	12-6	67%from 68%	+2.5	0/18	n=18
+ in September	3-2	60%from 68%	+1.8	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 68%	-0.6	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 64%	+2.9	0/17	n=17
+ outdoors	28-17	62%from 64%	+1.9	0/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 62%	+2.2	0/13	n=13
+ on turf	5-5	50%from 62%	-2.7	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	9-6	60%from 64%	-0.3	0/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 60%	+2.4	0/7	n=7
+ in September	4-5	44%from 64%	-2.9	0/9	n=9
+ outdoors	3-5	38%from 44%	-4.8	0/8	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NE — the basics

455 graded games since 1999

at home	130-105	55%	+2.3	12/235	n=235
vs PIT	12-6	67%	+4.6	1/18	n=18
as a favorite	185-143	56%	+2.5	14/328	n=328
spread 3.5-6.5	86-54	61%	+3.0	8/140	n=140
off a bye	36-31	54%	+3.0	3/67	n=67
in the Sunday early window	125-91	58%	+3.0	12/216	n=216
in September	43-42	51%	+1.1	4/85	n=85
outdoors	232-176	57%	+2.8	20/408	n=408
on turf	154-110	58%	+3.9	15/264	n=264
at this venue	119-93	56%	+2.5	11/212	n=212
under this head coach	14-7	67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
in the last 5 seasons	43-44	49%	+1.3	21/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game	n=455
NE has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

NE — combinations

299 lean NE · 82 lean against

Read this first. 423 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 89% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 4.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs PIT + spread 3.5-6.5	5-0	100%from 67%	+16.6	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+16.6	0/5	n=5
spread 3.5-6.5 + in September	21-8	72%from 61%	+6.5	1/29	n=29
+ at this venue	11-3	79%from 72%	+7.3	1/14	n=14
+ on turf	15-5	75%from 72%	+7.5	1/20	n=20
+ at this venue	9-2	82%from 75%	+8.5	1/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 75%	+2.8	1/6	n=6
+ outdoors	20-8	71%from 72%	+6.3	1/28	n=28
+ at this venue	11-3	79%from 71%	+7.3	1/14	n=14
+ on turf	14-5	74%from 71%	+7.4	1/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 71%	+2.8	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 72%	+2.8	1/6	n=6
as a favorite + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 56%	+6.9	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+6.9	14/14	n=14
spread 3.5-6.5 + in the Sunday early window	48-20	71%from 61%	+4.2	4/68	n=68
+ in September	15-3	83%from 71%	+7.9	1/18	n=18
+ at this venue	8-0	100%from 83%	+9.1	1/8	n=8
+ on turf	12-1	92%from 83%	+11.0	1/13	n=13
+ outdoors	14-3	82%from 83%	+7.7	1/17	n=17
+ on turf	30-11	73%from 71%	+5.6	3/41	n=41
+ at this venue	15-7	68%from 73%	+4.0	2/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 73%	+3.0	3/11	n=11
+ outdoors	45-19	70%from 71%	+4.2	3/64	n=64
+ on turf	27-11	71%from 70%	+5.5	2/38	n=38
+ at this venue	20-9	69%from 70%	+2.0	2/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 70%	+4.9	3/14	n=14
+ at this venue	20-9	69%from 71%	+2.0	2/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 69%	+3.0	2/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 71%	+4.8	4/15	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.