JAX at CINCIN -2.5o/u 51.5

ST Model JAX -1.5(-4 vs market)

Since first recorded CIN -2.5o/u 51.5unchanged · 51d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-104	50%	-1.2	8/209	n=209
vs CIN	6-7	46%	-1.6	1/13	n=13
as an underdog	135-135	50%	-0.7	8/270	n=270
spread 1-2.5	37-47	44%	-1.4	7/84	n=84
in the Sunday early window	145-155	48%	-0.2	13/300	n=300
in October	41-60	41%	-2.9	3/101	n=101
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on turf	49-47	51%	-1.4	3/96	n=96
at this venue	4-4	50%	-0.4	1/8	n=8
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

56 lean JAX · 105 lean against

Read this first. 197 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 82% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
on the road + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+4.3	8/8	n=8
as an underdog + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 50%	+6.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+6.5	8/8	n=8
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-5	62%from 48%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 62%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons	30-25	55%from 50%	+0.3	8/55	n=55
as an underdog + on turf	40-35	53%from 50%	-1.5	1/75	n=75
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 53%	-4.3	1/18	n=18
outdoors + on turf	25-22	53%from 48%	-1.5	1/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-8	33%from 53%	-4.0	1/12	n=12
on the road + in the Sunday early window	75-67	53%from 50%	+0.1	4/142	n=142
+ on turf	37-32	54%from 53%	-0.2	3/69	n=69
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 54%	-4.0	3/16	n=16
+ in October	17-15	53%from 53%	+1.4	0/32	n=32
+ on turf	7-4	64%from 53%	+6.7	0/11	n=11
+ outdoors	14-12	54%from 53%	+0.1	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 53%	-2.0	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	51-47	52%from 53%	-0.1	2/98	n=98
+ on turf	18-13	58%from 52%	0.0	1/31	n=31
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 52%	-1.1	1/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-10	38%from 52%	-1.4	2/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-14	48%from 53%	-2.4	4/27	n=27
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 53%	-1.1	1/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CIN — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	99-108	48%	-1.0	58/207	n=207
vs JAX	7-6	54%	+1.6	5/13	n=13
as a favorite	94-91	51%	-0.9	56/185	n=185
spread 1-2.5	41-48	46%	-0.2	26/89	n=89
in the Sunday early window	148-147	50%	-0.4	74/295	n=295
in October	45-54	45%	-1.5	28/99	n=99
outdoors	197-187	51%	-0.4	109/384	n=384
on turf	118-117	50%	-0.8	58/235	n=235
at this venue	98-107	48%	-1.0	57/205	n=205
under this head coach	67-53	56%	+0.1	120/120	n=120
in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%	+0.7	88/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=419

CIN — combinations

103 lean CIN · 244 lean against

Read this first. 388 combinations shown. The best one here is 62%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 45%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
vs JAX + as a favorite	3-2	60%from 54%	+1.4	3/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	+1.4	3/5	n=5
vs JAX + under this head coach	3-2	60%from 54%	+2.0	5/5	n=5
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	31-21	60%from 51%	-0.4	52/52	n=52
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%from 56%	+0.7	88/88	n=88
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	46-33	58%from 51%	+0.7	79/79	n=79
as a favorite + under this head coach	32-24	57%from 51%	-0.8	56/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	31-21	60%from 57%	-0.4	52/52	n=52
in October + under this head coach	16-12	57%from 45%	+0.3	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 57%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
on turf + under this head coach	33-25	57%from 50%	-0.4	58/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	30-25	55%from 57%	-0.6	55/55	n=55
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	27-22	55%from 50%	-0.5	49/49	n=49
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	30-25	55%from 50%	-0.6	55/55	n=55
outdoors + under this head coach	59-50	54%from 51%	-0.1	109/109	n=109
+ in the last 5 seasons	46-33	58%from 54%	+0.7	79/79	n=79
vs JAX + outdoors	7-6	54%from 54%	+1.6	5/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 54%	+2.0	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 54%	+0.4	4/8	n=8
at home + in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 48%	-0.2	42/42	n=42
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	38-36	51%from 50%	-1.1	74/74	n=74
+ in the last 5 seasons	27-22	55%from 51%	-0.5	49/49	n=49
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	21-20	51%from 48%	-0.2	41/41	n=41
at home + under this head coach	29-29	50%from 48%	-0.6	58/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 50%	-0.2	42/42	n=42

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.