BUF at LARLAR -3o/u 53.5

ST Model LAR -4.3(+1.3 vs market)

Since first recorded LAR -3o/u 53.5unchanged · 43d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BUF — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-101	52%	+0.1	77/209	n=209
vs LAR	5-2	71%	+6.4	3/7	n=7
as an underdog	110-110	50%	-0.8	54/220	n=220
spread 3	31-29	52%	-0.2	13/60	n=60
on Monday night	9-10	47%	+3.7	13/19	n=19
in October	46-52	47%	-0.7	32/98	n=98
indoors	21-24	47%	-0.8	20/45	n=45
on turf	155-146	52%	+1.1	117/301	n=301
under this head coach	85-73	54%	+2.3	158/158	n=158
in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%	+2.8	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BUF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423

BUF — combinations

47 lean BUF · 47 lean against

Read this first. 122 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs LAR + on turf	4-2	67%from 71%	+6.0	3/6	n=6
indoors + under this head coach	12-8	60%from 47%	+3.4	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 60%	+0.4	11/11	n=11
spread 3 + in October	8-6	57%from 52%	+1.3	4/14	n=14
+ on turf	7-4	64%from 57%	+5.5	2/11	n=11
on the road + under this head coach	42-35	55%from 52%	+2.3	77/77	n=77
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 55%	+2.4	44/44	n=44
as an underdog + in October	27-23	54%from 50%	-0.9	10/50	n=50
+ indoors	5-4	56%from 54%	-2.4	4/9	n=9
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 56%	-1.0	4/7	n=7
+ on turf	16-14	53%from 54%	+0.7	8/30	n=30
+ under this head coach	3-5	38%from 53%	-1.6	8/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 54%	+1.9	10/10	n=10
as an underdog + under this head coach	29-25	54%from 50%	+1.5	54/54	n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 54%	+3.1	17/17	n=17
spread 3 + on turf	22-19	54%from 52%	+1.2	9/41	n=41
+ under this head coach	3-6	33%from 54%	-1.3	9/9	n=9
as an underdog + on turf	69-61	53%from 50%	+0.7	32/130	n=130
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 53%	+4.4	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	18-14	56%from 53%	+2.7	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 56%	+4.4	7/7	n=7
on turf + under this head coach	62-55	53%from 52%	+2.4	117/117	n=117
+ in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 53%	+2.6	70/70	n=70
as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 50%	+3.1	17/17	n=17
on the road + on turf	46-41	53%from 52%	+1.4	36/87	n=87
+ under this head coach	19-17	53%from 53%	+2.6	36/36	n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 53%	+1.3	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 53%	+1.3	22/22	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LAR — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	102-111	48%	-0.9	78/213	n=213
vs BUF	2-5	29%	-6.4	3/7	n=7
as a favorite	110-118	48%	-0.6	109/228	n=228
spread 3	25-32	44%	-1.1	21/57	n=57
on Monday night	14-19	42%	-2.6	12/33	n=33
in October	53-49	52%	+0.3	36/102	n=102
indoors	119-121	50%	-0.3	79/240	n=240
on turf	131-145	47%	-0.9	89/276	n=276
at this venue	29-25	54%	+0.2	54/54	n=54
under this head coach	89-72	55%	+1.1	161/161	n=161
in the last 5 seasons	51-42	55%	+0.7	93/93	n=93

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=434
LAR has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAR — combinations

105 lean LAR · 120 lean against

Read this first. 255 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Monday night + in October	5-3	63%from 42%	+4.5	2/8	n=8
+ indoors	5-2	71%from 63%	+7.1	1/7	n=7
+ on turf	5-2	71%from 71%	+7.1	1/7	n=7
+ on turf	5-2	71%from 63%	+7.1	1/7	n=7
as a favorite + in October	28-20	58%from 48%	+1.9	27/48	n=48
+ on turf	18-13	58%from 58%	+2.0	16/31	n=31
+ under this head coach	7-9	44%from 58%	-0.3	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 58%	-2.2	12/12	n=12
+ at this venue	3-7	30%from 58%	-5.4	10/10	n=10
+ indoors	14-12	54%from 58%	+0.5	11/26	n=26
+ on turf	14-12	54%from 54%	+0.5	11/26	n=26
+ at this venue	3-7	30%from 54%	-5.4	10/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-8	27%from 54%	-5.0	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-7	22%from 54%	-6.3	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 58%	+0.4	14/14	n=14
+ under this head coach	13-14	48%from 58%	+1.8	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 48%	+0.4	14/14	n=14
+ at this venue	3-7	30%from 58%	-5.4	10/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-7	30%from 30%	-5.4	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 30%	-7.0	8/8	n=8
spread 3 + in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 44%	+8.2	12/12	n=12
spread 3 + under this head coach	12-9	57%from 44%	+6.5	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 57%	+8.2	12/12	n=12
at home + at this venue	29-23	56%from 48%	+0.6	52/52	n=52
+ under this head coach	29-23	56%from 56%	+0.6	52/52	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-20	55%from 56%	+0.5	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-20	55%from 56%	+0.5	44/44	n=44

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.