DET at ARIDET -8.5o/u 48.5

ST Model DET -3.4(+5.1 vs market)

Since first recorded DET -8.5flato/u 49.5-144d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

DET — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-104	50%	-1.5	44/210	n=210
vs ARI	9-9	50%	+0.6	2/18	n=18
as a favorite	76-78	49%	+0.4	48/154	n=154
spread 7-9.5	37-40	48%	-1.5	21/77	n=77
in the Sunday late window	26-29	47%	-1.3	16/55	n=55
in October	50-48	51%	-0.4	19/98	n=98
on grass	60-63	49%	-2.2	23/123	n=123
at this venue	3-6	33%	-4.4	1/9	n=9
under this head coach	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DET — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419

DET — combinations

71 lean DET · 49 lean against

Read this first. 134 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 78% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday late window + in October	7-2	78%from 47%	+7.8	4/9	n=9
on the road + under this head coach	29-15	66%from 50%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	29-15	66%from 66%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	29-15	66%from 50%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
as a favorite + under this head coach	31-17	65%from 49%	+3.9	48/48	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	31-17	65%from 65%	+3.9	48/48	n=48
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	31-17	65%from 49%	+3.9	48/48	n=48
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%from 64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
in October + on grass	15-9	63%from 51%	+1.5	4/24	n=24
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	10-6	63%from 47%	+1.7	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 63%	+1.7	16/16	n=16
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 47%	+1.7	16/16	n=16
on grass + under this head coach	14-9	61%from 49%	-0.2	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 61%	-0.2	23/23	n=23
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 49%	-0.2	23/23	n=23
on the road + in October	31-20	61%from 50%	+2.1	11/51	n=51
+ on grass	15-9	63%from 61%	+1.5	4/24	n=24
+ under this head coach	6-5	55%from 61%	-1.5	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 55%	-1.5	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 61%	-1.5	11/11	n=11
spread 7-9.5 + in October	6-4	60%from 48%	+2.7	3/10	n=10
as a favorite + in the Sunday late window	11-9	55%from 49%	+1.8	10/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	8-2	80%from 55%	+5.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 55%	+5.5	10/10	n=10
+ on grass	6-5	55%from 55%	+2.3	4/11	n=11
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 55%	-5.8	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	2-4	33%from 55%	-5.8	1/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ARI — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

at home	105-109	49%	-0.6	25/214	n=214
vs DET	9-9	50%	-0.6	1/18	n=18
as an underdog	146-135	52%	-0.6	41/281	n=281
spread 7-9.5	40-43	48%	-1.7	12/83	n=83
in the Sunday late window	125-121	51%	-0.1	32/246	n=246
in October	51-51	50%	-0.3	12/102	n=102
on grass	157-156	50%	-0.7	35/313	n=313
at this venue	81-83	49%	-0.5	25/164	n=164
under this head coach	26-25	51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	51/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ARI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=424
ARI has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

ARI — combinations

125 lean ARI · 95 lean against

Read this first. 263 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs DET + in the Sunday late window	9-3	75%from 50%	+5.8	1/12	n=12
+ on grass	8-3	73%from 75%	+4.4	1/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 73%	+4.4	1/9	n=9
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 75%	+4.4	1/9	n=9
at home + vs DET	8-3	73%from 49%	+4.4	1/11	n=11
+ in the Sunday late window	8-3	73%from 73%	+4.4	1/11	n=11
+ on grass	8-3	73%from 73%	+4.4	1/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 73%	+4.4	1/9	n=9
+ on grass	8-3	73%from 73%	+4.4	1/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 73%	+4.4	1/9	n=9
+ as an underdog	5-2	71%from 73%	+5.5	1/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday late window	5-2	71%from 71%	+5.5	1/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+5.5	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 71%	+5.8	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 73%	+4.4	1/9	n=9
vs DET + on grass	8-3	73%from 50%	+4.4	1/11	n=11
+ at this venue	6-3	67%from 73%	+4.4	1/9	n=9
vs DET + at this venue	6-3	67%from 50%	+4.4	1/9	n=9
in October + in the last 5 seasons	13-9	59%from 50%	+1.0	12/22	n=22
in October + at this venue	23-16	59%from 50%	+0.3	5/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
at home + in October	30-21	59%from 49%	+1.4	5/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	23-16	59%from 59%	+0.3	5/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	30-21	59%from 59%	+1.4	5/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 59%	-0.6	5/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 59%	-2.2	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	23-16	59%from 59%	+0.3	5/39	n=39

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.