BUF at LVBUF -6.5o/u 47.5

ST Model BUF -7.1(-0.6 vs market)

Since first recorded BUF -6.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 36d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BUF — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-101	52%	+0.1	77/209	n=209
vs LV	4-6	40%	-2.0	3/10	n=10
as a favorite	107-96	53%	+1.8	104/203	n=203
spread 3.5-6.5	69-70	50%	+1.1	43/139	n=139
in the Sunday late window	36-25	59%	+0.5	21/61	n=61
in October	46-52	47%	-0.7	32/98	n=98
indoors	21-24	47%	-0.8	20/45	n=45
on grass	62-60	51%	-0.9	41/122	n=122
under this head coach	85-73	54%	+2.3	158/158	n=158
in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%	+2.8	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BUF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423

BUF — combinations

75 lean BUF · 42 lean against

Read this first. 158 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as a favorite + in the Sunday late window	18-8	69%from 53%	+3.7	14/26	n=26
+ in October	7-1	88%from 69%	+5.5	3/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-1	86%from 69%	+6.9	4/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	10-4	71%from 69%	+4.2	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 71%	+4.3	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 69%	+4.3	12/12	n=12
+ indoors	3-3	50%from 69%	+0.7	2/6	n=6
in the Sunday late window + in October	13-6	68%from 59%	+0.2	3/19	n=19
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 68%	-5.5	2/10	n=10
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	14-7	67%from 59%	+2.7	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 67%	+4.2	17/17	n=17
as a favorite + on grass	21-11	66%from 53%	+4.5	19/32	n=32
+ under this head coach	12-7	63%from 66%	+4.5	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 63%	+4.5	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 66%	+4.5	12/12	n=12
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 59%	+4.2	17/17	n=17
indoors + under this head coach	12-8	60%from 47%	+3.4	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 60%	+0.4	11/11	n=11
on the road + in the Sunday late window	25-17	60%from 52%	+0.2	12/42	n=42
+ indoors	6-2	75%from 60%	+1.4	4/8	n=8
+ in October	10-5	67%from 60%	-2.4	3/15	n=15
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 67%	-5.5	2/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	8-4	67%from 60%	+2.2	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 67%	+5.1	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 60%	+5.1	8/8	n=8
+ on grass	16-12	57%from 60%	-2.7	9/28	n=28
+ under this head coach	6-3	67%from 57%	+0.6	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 57%	+3.9	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LV — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	95-116	45%	-1.6	0/211	n=211
vs BUF	6-4	60%	+2.0	0/10	n=10
as an underdog	134-142	49%	-1.4	0/276	n=276
spread 3.5-6.5	62-70	47%	-1.8	0/132	n=132
in the Sunday late window	102-118	46%	-1.1	0/220	n=220
in October	44-53	45%	-2.1	0/97	n=97
indoors	48-43	53%	-2.2	0/91	n=91
on grass	167-179	48%	-0.9	0/346	n=346
at this venue	27-23	54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
in the last 5 seasons	41-43	49%	-1.7	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LV — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -7.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=419

LV — combinations

119 lean LV · 101 lean against

Read this first. 241 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + at this venue	7-4	64%from 45%	-1.6	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 64%	+0.9	0/9	n=9
at home + vs BUF	3-2	60%from 45%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday late window	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
vs BUF + in the Sunday late window	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
vs BUF + on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	+6.7	0/5	n=5
indoors + on grass	32-24	57%from 53%	-0.4	0/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 57%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 57%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	23-18	56%from 46%	-0.5	0/41	n=41
at home + in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 45%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
as an underdog + indoors	32-27	54%from 49%	-2.6	0/59	n=59
+ on grass	19-14	58%from 54%	-2.2	0/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 58%	-3.5	0/21	n=21
+ at this venue	14-13	52%from 58%	-3.6	0/27	n=27
+ at this venue	14-13	52%from 54%	-3.6	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 52%	-3.5	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-16	50%from 54%	-3.1	0/32	n=32
at home + indoors	27-23	54%from 45%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ on grass	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.